Home run props • Tail risk • Price discipline

Home Run Hub

Power is noisy. The board should not be.

A unified home run desk that keeps today's plays, upside tails, market gaps, and saved artifacts in one place. The model stays untouched; this page simply makes the decision surface easier to read.

2026-06-09 HR Plays JSON HR Gaps JSON

Current slate 2026-06-09

0 activated plays

Gap rows 318

Unique hitters 0

Avg gap --

Avg odds --

Newer: 2026-06-10 Older: 2026-06-08

Top Plays

Today's Home Run Plays

The production-facing HR plays stay first on the page. This section uses the same play artifact and the same card treatment as the existing standalone plays page.

No activated HR plays were found for this slate.

High-Upside Board

Asymmetric HR Upside

A separate research board built from the framing-based tail layer. This is not the main HR ranking. It highlights hitters with solid-enough baseline power plus meaningful tail uplift and appealing odds profiles.

High-Upside JSON

High-Upside board not available for this slate.

Snapshot

Daily Snapshot

A quick summary of the live HR plays board using the same saved production artifact.

Total Plays 0

Average Gap --

Unique Hitters 0

Average Odds --

2026-06-15 2026-06-14 2026-06-13 2026-06-12 2026-06-11 2026-06-10 2026-06-08

Market Signals

Today's HR Market Signals

The signal box still comes straight from the HR market-comparison artifact. The first five stay visible by default, with the rest tucked behind a lightweight toggle.

Value Rank #1

Bryan Reynolds

Strong

PIT vs LAD | Eric Lauer

Value Score 42.1

Odds / Gap +615 / +8.33%

1+ HR 22.3%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.062x

Value Rank #2

Ian Happ

Strong

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano

Value Score 40.3

Odds / Gap +550 / +7.43%

1+ HR 22.8%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.067x

Value Rank #3

Ezequiel Tovar

Strong

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea

Value Score 36.0

Odds / Gap +670 / +7.72%

1+ HR 20.7%

DraftKings Projected | Projected Hitter-Friendly | HR 1.067x

Value Rank #4

Christian Yelich

Play

MIL vs ATH | J.t. Ginn

Value Score 35.1

Odds / Gap +485 / +5.21%

1+ HR 22.3%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.030x

Value Rank #5

Brandon Nimmo

Play

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek

Value Score 33.0

Odds / Gap +515 / +5.59%

1+ HR 21.9%

FanDuel Projected | Projected Neutral | HR 1.133x

Full Gap Board

Home Run Market Gap Board

The full board below preserves the existing filters, sorting, and table behavior from the standalone HR gaps page.

Bryan Reynolds

PIT vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +8.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+8.33%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -850

+8.24%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+8.24%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willi Castro

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +8.12%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +885 / U -1400

+8.12%

9.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +870 / U -1480

+7.96%

9.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+7.96%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.2

Edouard Julien

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 6

Strong

Best Gap +7.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +790 / U -1195

+7.72%

10.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +785 / U -1270

+7.66%

10.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +785 / U --

+7.66%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Ezequiel Tovar

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -950

+7.72%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1010

+7.72%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +665 / U --

+7.64%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 108.0

Brice Turang

MIL vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 1

Strong

Best Gap +7.55%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +865 / U -1360

+7.55%

10.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +855 / U --

+7.44%

FanDuel

0.5

O +850 / U -1435

+7.38%

10.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.3

Ian Happ

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 4

Strong

Best Gap +7.43%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +550 / U -780

+7.43%

14.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +545 / U -730

+7.31%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +545 / U --

+7.31%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Adley Rutschman

BAL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 5

Strong

Best Gap +7.36%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +710 / U -1030

+7.36%

11.9%

FanDuel

0.5

O +710 / U -1095

+7.36%

11.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +705 / U --

+7.29%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Shohei Ohtani

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +6.83%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 20.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+6.83%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+5.12%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-9.65%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

William Contreras

MIL vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +6.82%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+6.82%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+6.82%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+6.82%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brenton Doyle

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +6.72%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1015

+6.72%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1075

+6.72%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+6.64%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Tj Friedl

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +6.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +655 / U -925

+6.56%

12.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +655 / U -985

+6.56%

12.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +650 / U --

+6.48%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.9

Colt Keith

DET vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.38%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +820 / U -1260

+6.38%

10.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +810 / U -1335

+6.26%

10.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +810 / U --

+6.26%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jonathan India

KC vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.30%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +920 / U -1485

+6.30%

9.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +905 / U --

+6.15%

FanDuel

0.5

O +900 / U -1570

+6.10%

9.6%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Dansby Swanson

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +6.04%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +635 / U -890

+6.04%

13.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +635 / U -945

+6.04%

13.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +635 / U --

+6.04%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Aaron Judge

NYY vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.93%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 21.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +230 / U -270

+5.93%

29.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +240 / U -295

+4.22%

28.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +235 / U --

-8.75%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Andrew Benintendi

CWS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 4

Play

Best Gap +5.93%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 19.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +640 / U -900

+5.93%

13.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +640 / U -955

+5.93%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +640 / U --

+5.93%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Wyatt Langford

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.90%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+5.90%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+5.79%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+5.79%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kyle Schwarber

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.89%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 17.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +265 / U -320

+5.89%

26.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +280 / U -345

+4.55%

25.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +270 / U --

-9.11%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Evan Carter

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 6

Play

Best Gap +5.75%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1175

+5.75%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +775 / U -1245

+5.68%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +775 / U --

+5.68%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brandon Nimmo

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.59%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +515 / U -715

+5.59%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +510 / U --

+5.46%

DraftKings

0.5

O +505 / U -670

+5.32%

16.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alex Bregman

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +5.56%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +560 / U -795

+5.56%

14.6%

DraftKings

0.5

O +555 / U -750

+5.44%

14.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +555 / U --

+5.44%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Christian Yelich

MIL vs ATH | J.t. Ginn | Slot 2

Play

Best Gap +5.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 22.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -665

+5.21%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +480 / U -625

+5.06%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +480 / U --

+5.06%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Geraldo Perdomo

AZ vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +5.08%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 14.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +935 / U -1520

+5.08%

9.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +920 / U --

+4.94%

FanDuel

0.5

O +915 / U -1605

+4.89%

9.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jarren Duran

BOS vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +5.08%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +715 / U -1045

+5.08%

11.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +715 / U -1110

+5.08%

11.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +715 / U --

+5.08%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5

Elly De La Cruz

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.99%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +540 / U -760

+4.99%

15.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +535 / U --

+4.86%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -710

+4.74%

15.3%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Alec Burleson

STL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.81%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +625 / U -870

+4.81%

13.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +625 / U -925

+4.81%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

+4.81%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Lane Thomas

KC vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.79%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+4.79%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+4.79%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+4.79%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Zach McKinstry

DET vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 1

Play

Best Gap +4.70%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1010 / U -1715

+4.70%

8.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +990 / U --

+4.54%

FanDuel

0.5

O +985 / U -1810

+4.49%

8.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.4

Ozzie Albies

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 5

Play

Best Gap +4.59%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -850

+4.59%

13.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +615 / U -905

+4.59%

13.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+4.50%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bo Bichette

NYM vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 3

Play

Best Gap +4.58%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +725 / U -1060

+4.58%

11.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +720 / U -1125

+4.50%

11.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +720 / U --

+4.50%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Carlos Santana

AZ vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +4.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +610 / U -890

+4.41%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +605 / U -840

+4.31%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +605 / U --

+4.31%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Bobby Witt Jr.

KC vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +4.33%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+4.33%

16.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -600

+4.17%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+4.17%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brandon Marsh

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +4.22%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +780 / U -1170

+4.22%

11.0%

FanDuel

0.5

O +770 / U -1240

+4.09%

11.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +770 / U --

+4.09%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vinnie Pasquantino

KC vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +4.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+4.21%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

+3.90%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.90%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Roman Anthony

BOS vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +4.05%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +700 / U -1010

+4.05%

12.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +700 / U -1070

+4.05%

12.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +695 / U --

+3.97%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jj Bleday

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +4.03%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +650 / U -970

+4.03%

12.8%

DraftKings

0.5

O +645 / U -910

+3.94%

13.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +645 / U --

+3.94%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cody Bellinger

NYY vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +470 / U -640

+3.96%

16.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

+3.80%

DraftKings

0.5

O +460 / U -600

+3.64%

17.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Steer

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +3.85%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +600 / U -825

+3.85%

13.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +600 / U -875

+3.85%

13.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +595 / U --

+3.75%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Cal Raleigh

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +3.83%

Best Side Under

1+ HR 18.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +285 / U -345

+3.83%

25.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +295 / U -370

+2.64%

24.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +290 / U --

-7.00%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Freddie Freeman

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.78%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+3.78%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+3.64%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -640

+3.50%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcus Semien

NYM vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.71%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +630 / U -930

+3.71%

13.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +625 / U -875

+3.62%

13.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +625 / U --

+3.62%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Joc Pederson

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.69%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -830

+3.69%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -780

+3.59%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+3.59%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jesús Sánchez

TOR vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.66%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+3.66%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+3.58%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+3.58%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler Stephenson

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.57%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 16.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +685 / U -980

+3.57%

12.3%

FanDuel

0.5

O +680 / U -1040

+3.49%

12.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +680 / U --

+3.49%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Gunnar Henderson

BAL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.51%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +455 / U -610

+3.51%

17.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +445 / U -570

+3.18%

17.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+3.18%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Brendan Donovan

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.41%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 12.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +955 / U -1570

+3.41%

9.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +935 / U --

+3.23%

FanDuel

0.5

O +930 / U -1655

+3.18%

9.3%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Mike Yastrzemski

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +3.37%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +615 / U -900

+3.37%

13.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +610 / U -845

+3.28%

13.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +610 / U --

+3.28%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Rob Refsnyder

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +3.25%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +695 / U -1000

+3.25%

12.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +690 / U -1060

+3.17%

12.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +690 / U --

+3.17%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nico Hoerner

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +3.21%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 11.2%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+3.21%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+3.21%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+3.21%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 106.0

Randy Arozarena

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 5

Lean

Best Gap +3.09%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +570 / U -815

+3.09%

14.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +565 / U -765

+2.98%

14.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +565 / U --

+2.98%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Michael Busch

CHC vs COL | Tomoyuki Sugano | Slot 3

Lean

Best Gap +2.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 21.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+2.96%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+2.79%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -550

+2.61%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Trea Turner

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.96%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +580 / U -835

+2.96%

14.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +575 / U -785

+2.86%

14.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +575 / U --

+2.86%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Nathan Lukes

TOR vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 6

Lean

Best Gap +2.94%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 12.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +960 / U -1590

+2.94%

9.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +945 / U --

+2.80%

FanDuel

0.5

O +940 / U -1680

+2.75%

9.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.0

Cj Abrams

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 1

Lean

Best Gap +2.92%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +590 / U -850

+2.92%

13.9%

DraftKings

0.5

O +585 / U -800

+2.81%

14.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +585 / U --

+2.81%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Iván Herrera

STL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.85%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +670 / U -955

+2.85%

12.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +670 / U -1015

+2.85%

12.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+2.85%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jakob Marsee

MIA vs AZ | Zac Gallen | Slot 2

Lean

Best Gap +2.79%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 13.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +855 / U -1340

+2.79%

10.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +845 / U -1415

+2.68%

10.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +845 / U --

+2.68%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 109.7

Luis García Jr.

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 4

Lean

Best Gap +2.50%

Best Side Over

1+ HR 15.4%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +675 / U -965

+2.50%

12.5%

FanDuel

0.5

O +675 / U -1025

+2.50%

12.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +670 / U --

+2.41%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Corbin Carroll

AZ vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +2.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -610

+2.42%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

+2.25%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

+2.08%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Mookie Betts

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.32%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+2.32%

15.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+2.19%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -690

+2.06%

15.7%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Salvador Perez

KC vs TEX | Nathan Eovaldi | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +2.29%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+2.29%

17.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+2.13%

DraftKings

0.5

O +450 / U -585

+1.97%

17.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Edgar Quero

CWS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +2.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 10.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+2.27%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+2.27%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+2.27%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 109.5

Alec Bohm

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +2.23%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 13.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +805 / U -1225

+2.23%

10.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +795 / U -1295

+2.11%

10.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +795 / U --

+2.11%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Colson Montgomery

CWS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +2.18%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +325 / U -400

+2.18%

22.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +335 / U -430

+1.05%

22.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +330 / U --

-5.44%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Marcell Ozuna

PIT vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +2.02%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 23.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +360 / U -465

+2.02%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +355 / U --

+1.78%

DraftKings

0.5

O +350 / U -435

+1.54%

21.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Riley Greene

DET vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.89%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +445 / U -600

+1.89%

17.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +440 / U --

+1.72%

DraftKings

0.5

O +435 / U -560

+1.55%

18.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Mangum

PIT vs LAD | Eric Lauer | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.65%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 9.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+1.65%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+1.65%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+1.65%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 107.7

Agustín Ramírez

MIA vs AZ | Zac Gallen | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.63%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +585 / U -845

+1.63%

14.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +580 / U -795

+1.52%

14.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +580 / U --

+1.52%

Projected | Projected Same Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Taylor Ward

BAL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.42%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.3%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +460 / U -625

+1.42%

17.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

+1.26%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

+1.26%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Spencer Torkelson

DET vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.37%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -680

+1.37%

16.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+1.23%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+1.09%

16.5%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Willson Contreras

BOS vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.35%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +535 / U -750

+1.35%

15.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +530 / U -705

+1.23%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +530 / U --

+1.23%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Giancarlo Stanton

NYY vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +345 / U -430

+1.27%

21.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +360 / U -460

+0.26%

20.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +350 / U --

-4.62%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Juan Soto

NYM vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.27%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +310 / U -375

+1.27%

23.6%

FanDuel

0.5

O +320 / U -405

+0.02%

22.9%

BetMGM

0.5

O +315 / U --

-4.32%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ben Rice

NYY vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap +1.24%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -730

+1.24%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -685

+1.11%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+1.11%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Julio Rodríguez

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +1.19%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +440 / U -590

+1.19%

17.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +435 / U --

+1.02%

DraftKings

0.5

O +430 / U -555

+0.84%

18.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daylen Lile

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +1.09%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 12.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +770 / U -1150

+1.09%

11.1%

FanDuel

0.5

O +765 / U -1220

+1.02%

11.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +765 / U --

+1.02%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 106.5

Keibert Ruiz

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +1.07%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 11.3%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +880 / U -1395

+1.07%

9.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +870 / U --

+0.96%

FanDuel

0.5

O +865 / U -1475

+0.91%

10.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Jorge Polanco

NYM vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +1.03%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -675

+1.03%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +485 / U -635

+0.75%

16.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +485 / U --

+0.75%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Drake Baldwin

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +530 / U -740

+0.90%

15.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +525 / U --

+0.77%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -695

+0.64%

15.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

NYY vs CLE | Slade Cecconi | Slot 5

No Play

Best Gap +0.83%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

+0.83%

18.1%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

+0.47%

18.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

+0.47%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Josh Naylor

SEA vs BAL | Trevor Rogers | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.81%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +525 / U -735

+0.81%

15.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +520 / U -690

+0.68%

15.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +520 / U --

+0.68%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Francisco Lindor

NYM vs STL | Dustin May | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.77%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +420 / U -555

+0.77%

18.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

+0.58%

DraftKings

0.5

O +410 / U -520

+0.39%

18.9%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Victor Scott II

STL vs NYM | Freddy Peralta | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.68%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 8.7%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.68%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

+0.68%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

+0.68%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 108.7

Kyle Tucker

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap +0.60%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +430 / U -570

+0.60%

18.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +425 / U --

+0.42%

DraftKings

0.5

O +420 / U -535

+0.24%

18.6%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Austin Riley

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.59%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+0.59%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+0.45%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.45%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

TOR vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.57%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +495 / U -685

+0.57%

16.2%

DraftKings

0.5

O +490 / U -640

+0.43%

16.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +490 / U --

+0.43%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Xavier Edwards

MIA vs AZ | Zac Gallen | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.46%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 4.0%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

+0.46%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.04%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-3.96%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 102.4

Wilyer Abreu

BOS vs TB | Nick Martinez | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap +0.39%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +520 / U -725

+0.39%

15.5%

DraftKings

0.5

O +515 / U -680

+0.26%

15.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +515 / U --

+0.26%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Hunter Goodman

COL vs CHC | Colin Rea | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap +0.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.0%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -625

+0.26%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-0.06%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-0.06%

Projected | Projected Same Side Hitter-Friendly | Mix 110.0

George Springer

TOR vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap +0.00%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.4%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

+0.00%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-0.31%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-0.31%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Chase Meidroth

CWS vs ATL | Grant Holmes | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -0.06%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.06%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.06%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.06%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 106.4

José Tena

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.22%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 7.8%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +1150 / U -2120

-0.22%

7.7%

FanDuel

0.5

O +1150 / U -2400

-0.22%

7.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +1150 / U --

-0.22%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Pete Alonso

BAL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.25%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.9%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +330 / U -410

-0.25%

22.4%

FanDuel

0.5

O +345 / U -440

-1.34%

21.6%

BetMGM

0.5

O +335 / U --

-3.13%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Teoscar Hernández

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.26%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +450 / U -605

-0.26%

17.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +445 / U --

-0.43%

DraftKings

0.5

O +440 / U -570

-0.60%

17.9%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Corey Seager

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.43%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 21.8%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +350 / U -450

-0.43%

21.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +345 / U --

-0.68%

DraftKings

0.5

O +340 / U -420

-0.94%

22.0%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

James Wood

WSH vs SF | Adrian Houser | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.62%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +485 / U -660

-0.62%

16.4%

DraftKings

0.5

O +475 / U -620

-0.92%

16.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +475 / U --

-0.92%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Max Muncy

LAD vs PIT | Paul Skenes | Slot 6

No Play

Best Gap -0.71%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.6%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-0.71%

18.8%

FanDuel

0.5

O +425 / U -565

-1.54%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-2.65%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Bryce Harper

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -0.72%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +415 / U -550

-0.72%

18.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +410 / U --

-0.91%

DraftKings

0.5

O +405 / U -515

-1.10%

19.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Tyler O'Neill

BAL vs SEA | Logan Gilbert | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.72%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.7%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.72%

16.7%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.03%

17.1%

BetMGM

0.5

O +465 / U --

-1.03%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Eugenio Suárez

CIN vs SD | Lucas Giolito | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.76%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.1%

DraftKings Best Price

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-0.76%

21.2%

FanDuel

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-1.72%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-2.63%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Kerry Carpenter

DET vs MIN | Taj Bradley | Slot 3

No Play

Best Gap -0.90%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +400 / U -530

-0.90%

19.2%

BetMGM

0.5

O +395 / U --

-1.10%

DraftKings

0.5

O +390 / U -495

-1.31%

19.7%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Daulton Varsho

TOR vs PHI | Zack Wheeler | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.91%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +475 / U -645

-0.91%

16.7%

BetMGM

0.5

O +470 / U --

-1.06%

DraftKings

0.5

O +465 / U -605

-1.22%

17.1%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Jake Burger

TEX vs KC | Stephen Kolek | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -0.93%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 18.1%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -570

-0.93%

18.3%

BetMGM

0.5

O +420 / U --

-1.11%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -530

-1.30%

18.8%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ronald Acuña Jr.

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 1

No Play

Best Gap -1.11%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 17.9%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +425 / U -560

-1.11%

18.3%

DraftKings

0.5

O +415 / U -525

-1.48%

18.8%

BetMGM

0.5

O +415 / U --

-1.48%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Matt Olson

ATL vs CWS | Erick Fedde | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.13%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 20.2%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +370 / U -475

-1.13%

20.5%

BetMGM

0.5

O +360 / U --

-1.59%

DraftKings

0.5

O +355 / U -445

-1.80%

21.2%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Adolis García

PHI vs TOR | Dylan Cease | Slot 4

No Play

Best Gap -1.21%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 16.5%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +465 / U -625

-1.21%

17.0%

DraftKings

0.5

O +455 / U -585

-1.53%

17.4%

BetMGM

0.5

O +455 / U --

-1.53%

Projected | Projected Same Side Neutral | Mix 110.0

Ketel Marte

AZ vs MIA | Max Meyer | Slot 2

No Play

Best Gap -1.21%

Best Side No Play

1+ HR 19.6%

FanDuel Best Price

0.5

O +380 / U -495

-1.21%

20.0%

BetMGM

0.5

O +375 / U --

-1.43%

DraftKings

0.5

O +370 / U -465

-1.66%

20.5%

Projected | Projected Opposite Side Pitcher-Friendly | Mix 110.0

Analytics

Historical Review & Analytics

This section keeps the deeper HR history and graded analytics available without crowding the top of the page.

Open HR Gap History & Analytics

History

HR Gap History

Saved Dates 392

Latest Date 2026-06-15

Latest Signals 5

Date	Rows	Recommendations	Signals	Grading
2026-06-15 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	168 matched 0 unmatched	27 / 29 / 36 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 39.6	-- Signals --
2026-06-14 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	390 matched 0 unmatched	53 / 83 / 83 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 55.4	-- Signals --
2026-06-13 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	291 matched 0 unmatched	36 / 53 / 87 Strong / Play / Lean	5 TJ Friedl \| 51.9	-- Signals --
2026-06-12 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	249 matched 0 unmatched	24 / 76 / 48 Strong / Play / Lean	5 CJ Abrams \| 48.3	-- Signals --
2026-06-11 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	180 matched 0 unmatched	30 / 38 / 46 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bo Bichette \| 51.8	-- Signals --
2026-06-10 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	243 matched 0 unmatched	21 / 37 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Ezequiel Tovar \| 47.9	-- Signals --
2026-06-09 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	318 matched 0 unmatched	21 / 64 / 81 Strong / Play / Lean	5 Bryan Reynolds \| 42.1	-- Signals --
2026-06-08 home_run_edges_v1_overlay	180 matched 0 unmatched	7 / 17 / 44 Strong / Play / Lean	4 Adley Rutschman \| 34.3	-- Signals --

Analytics

HR Gap Analytics

Dates 356

Rows / Graded 145023 / 76821

Over Hit Rate 15.9%

Signal Hit Rate 18.4%

Play Tiers

Strong: 44 / 282 | 15.6%

Play: 713 / 4042 | 17.6%

Lean: 1110 / 7401 | 15.0%

Sportsbooks

BetMGM: 616 / 3870 | 15.9%

DraftKings: 593 / 3783 | 15.7%

FanDuel: 658 / 4072 | 16.2%

Odds Buckets

+200 to +299: 223 / 726 | 30.7%

+300 to +399: 446 / 2374 | 18.8%

+400+: 1198 / 8625 | 13.9%