Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 35 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2013-09-04 |
Player profile / New York Mets
Marcus Semien
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 195 lb · Age 35
Club New York Mets
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 718 | 101 | 154 | 23 | 8 | .237 | .308 | .391 | .699 |
| 2025 | 534 | 62 | 108 | 15 | 11 | .230 | .305 | .364 | .669 |
| 2026 | 318 | 30 | 62 | 9 | 6 | .214 | .271 | .341 | .612 |
| 14 Seasons | 7391 | 998 | 1675 | 262 | 145 | .252 | .319 | .431 | .750 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.313 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.316 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.314 |
| Observed weight | 61% |
xwOBA
0.287
0.300
0.314
0.329
0.341
wOBA
0.273
0.289
0.306
0.322
0.338
ISO
0.114
0.127
0.142
0.158
0.171
K%
17.2%
18.3%
19.4%
20.6%
21.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
68
+25 vs proj
Exit velocity86.3
28
Hard-hit%36.7%
39
xBA0.333
63
xSLG0.542
62
xwOBA0.316
59
BB%7.4%
36
-17 vs proj
Bat speed66.5
15
K%21.0%
59
-21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · 2B
12
Arm Strength85.3 · 2B
38
Outs Above Avg-5.0 · 2B
7
Range Runs-3.5 · 2B
19
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.1 · 2B
43
Sprint Speed28.1 · 2B
70
SB Success Rate50.0% · 2B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
47
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
64
Correct Decisions68.6% · rebadged research
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
53
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.234 · borderline
100
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.305 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.334 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
81
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
32
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
203 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.001 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.009 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Semien’s wOBA sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.316 — a gap of 0.010, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 338 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bellinger, Cody NYY · L | 0.72 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L | 0.69 | In-zone contactWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.65 | Ground-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Larnach, Trevor MIN · L | 0.63 | xwOBA on contactChase rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-05-25 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 @ CHC0 HR | 1 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-13 @ LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |