Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2020-07-27 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Tyler Stephenson
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 225 lb · Age 30
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 515 | 69 | 118 | 19 | 1 | .258 | .338 | .444 | .782 |
| 2025 | 342 | 40 | 69 | 13 | 0 | .231 | .316 | .421 | .737 |
| 2026 | 465 | 40 | 99 | 15 | 0 | .243 | .325 | .407 | .732 |
| 7 Seasons | 2444 | 292 | 557 | 78 | 2 | .258 | .336 | .422 | .758 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
81
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.297 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.325 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.316 |
| Observed weight | 69% |
xwOBA
0.294
0.304
0.316
0.328
0.339
wOBA
0.317
0.330
0.344
0.359
0.372
ISO
0.136
0.148
0.160
0.173
0.185
K%
25.8%
27.0%
28.2%
29.5%
30.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.4%
84
+16 vs proj
Exit velocity91.1
88
Hard-hit%45.0%
81
xBA0.342
76
xSLG0.617
83
xwOBA0.325
73
+15 vs proj
BB%10.3%
72
+19 vs proj
Bat speed68.8
38
K%27.7%
24
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs3.2 · C
98
Catcher Throwing-1.9 · C
14
Framing Runs-9.4 · C
2
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · C
38
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.1% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.6% · rebadged research
67
Correct Decisions72.3% · rebadged research
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
93
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
61
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
70
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.246 · validated thin sample
97
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.344 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.431 · validated
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
202 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.034 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stephenson’s wOBA sits at 0.344, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.019, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 487 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aranda, Jonathan TB · L | 0.78 | Avg exit velocityBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.65 | Chase ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Abreu, Wilyer BOS · L | 0.65 | Walk ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Baty, Brett NYM · L | 0.64 | Swing lengthxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-08-13 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 6 | 2026-09-24 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, 2 K |