Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Tyler Stephenson

C profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position C Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.297
xwOBA current pace0.332
xwOBA rolling p500.313
Observed weight46%
xwOBA
0.283 0.297 0.313 0.329 0.343
wOBA
0.295 0.316 0.339 0.363 0.384
ISO
0.106 0.123 0.142 0.161 0.179
K%
25.4% 27.0% 28.8% 30.5% 32.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%11.9%
79 +34 vs proj
Barrel%7.6%
79 +18 vs proj
Bat speed68.9
40
Exit velocity91.0
84
Hard-hit%46.2%
77
K%28.1%
20
xBA0.327
55
xSLG0.626
80
xwOBA0.332
69 +18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.3 · C
100
Catcher Throwing1.5 · C
83
Framing Runs-4.3 · C
5
Pop Time2.0 · C
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · C
33
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.6% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions74.4% · rebadged research
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
57
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.269 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.251 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.321 · validated
83
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.418 · validated
1
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
95
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Stephenson, Tyler · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3272026-05-19: 0.3202026-05-21: 0.3262026-05-23: 0.3262026-05-24: 0.3212026-05-25: 0.3212026-05-26: 0.3212026-05-28: 0.3272026-05-29: 0.3262026-05-30: 0.3262026-05-31: 0.3262026-06-01: 0.332 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Stephenson, Tyler · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 22%22%Whiff: 28%28%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 72%72%Hard hit: 46%46% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Stephenson, Tyler · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 38.4° Length 7.4 ft Ideal path 61% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Stephenson, Tyler · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 12.5° Direction +4.3° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Stephenson, Tyler · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.2 mph Hard swing rate 10% Whiff / swing 26% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 3"
Weight225 lb
Debut2020-07-27
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.022
wOBA Δ+0.030

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-30Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 14 HRProjection
2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-4
2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K
2026-04-14 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, 2 K
2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E0-2 | 2 BB