Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2020-07-27 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Tyler Stephenson
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 225 lb · Age 29
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 515 | 69 | 118 | 19 | 1 | .258 | .338 | .444 | .782 |
| 2025 | 342 | 40 | 69 | 13 | 0 | .231 | .316 | .421 | .737 |
| 2026 | 257 | 18 | 54 | 6 | 0 | .238 | .319 | .361 | .680 |
| 7 Seasons | 2236 | 270 | 512 | 69 | 2 | .258 | .336 | .418 | .754 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
76
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.297 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.331 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.316 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.302
0.316
0.331
0.343
wOBA
0.307
0.324
0.343
0.363
0.380
ISO
0.106
0.121
0.137
0.153
0.168
K%
24.5%
25.9%
27.4%
28.9%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
72
Exit velocity90.8
84
Hard-hit%46.5%
81
xBA0.341
70
xSLG0.599
77
xwOBA0.331
73
+20 vs proj
BB%10.4%
72
+20 vs proj
Bat speed69.2
43
K%25.9%
32
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.6 · C
100
Catcher Throwing-0.8 · C
31
Framing Runs-10.0 · C
1
Pop Time2.0 · C
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.0 · C
40
SB Success Rate0.0% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.3% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.5% · rebadged research
74
Correct Decisions74.1% · rebadged research
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.276 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
79
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.255 · validated thin sample
96
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.298 · insufficient sample
98
Resists FastballwOBA 0.331 · validated
67
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.441 · validated
0
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.021 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.034 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Stephenson’s wOBA sits at 0.343, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.331 — a gap of 0.012, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 278 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| McLain, Matt CIN · R | 0.70 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Aranda, Jonathan TB · L | 0.67 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Ozuna, Marcell PIT · R | 0.67 | Sweet-spot rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Smith, Will LAD · R | 0.66 | Isolated powerSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-06-28 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.310 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB |