Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 35 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2015-07-11 |
Player profile / Tacoma Rainiers
Rob Refsnyder
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 215 lb · Age 35
Club Tacoma Rainiers
Position DH
Roster Injured 10-Day
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 307 | 32 | 77 | 11 | 2 | .283 | .359 | .471 | .830 |
| 2025 | 209 | 29 | 49 | 9 | 3 | .269 | .354 | .484 | .838 |
| 2026 | 119 | 8 | 14 | 3 | 0 | .133 | .203 | .219 | .422 |
| 11 Seasons | 1669 | 196 | 357 | 36 | 22 | .246 | .333 | .375 | .708 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
19
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.295 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.249 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.278 |
| Observed weight | 38% |
xwOBA
0.240
0.258
0.278
0.297
0.315
wOBA
0.186
0.208
0.232
0.256
0.278
ISO
0.076
0.097
0.120
0.143
0.164
K%
21.6%
23.7%
25.9%
28.2%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.4%
41
Exit velocity85.3
20
Hard-hit%33.7%
27
-34 vs proj
xBA0.244
2
xSLG0.418
18
xwOBA0.249
7
-26 vs proj
BB%6.6%
26
-39 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
45
K%27.9%
23
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
22
Arm Runs-0.2 · RF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.5 · RF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · DH
37
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.0% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
48
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
63
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.273 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.312 · insufficient sample
93
Resists FastballwOBA 0.301 · validated
96
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.341 · validated
88
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
78
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
68 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.042 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.059 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Refsnyder’s wOBA sits at 0.232, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.249 — a gap of 0.017, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 136 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-27 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.291 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-11 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-08 @ TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, K |