Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 211 lb |
| Debut | 2024-03-28 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Colt Keith
3B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 211 lb · Age 24
Club Detroit Tigers
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 556 | 54 | 134 | 13 | 7 | .260 | .309 | .380 | .689 |
| 2025 | 468 | 65 | 106 | 13 | 1 | .256 | .333 | .413 | .746 |
| 2026 | 272 | 35 | 62 | 8 | 4 | .245 | .294 | .391 | .685 |
| 3 Seasons | 1296 | 154 | 302 | 34 | 12 | .255 | .315 | .394 | .709 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
68
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.331 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.324 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.327 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.303
0.314
0.327
0.340
0.351
wOBA
0.304
0.321
0.340
0.359
0.375
ISO
0.123
0.136
0.151
0.166
0.180
K%
17.0%
18.3%
19.7%
21.1%
22.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
72
+18 vs proj
Exit velocity89.7
69
Hard-hit%43.9%
72
+18 vs proj
xBA0.337
65
xSLG0.547
63
xwOBA0.324
66
BB%6.5%
24
-28 vs proj
Bat speed70.4
61
K%19.1%
69
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength85.5 · 3B
41
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 3B
43
Range Runs0.6 · 3B
55
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.6 · 3B
83
Bolts1.0 · 3B
15
Sprint Speed28.2 · 3B
73
SB Success Rate100.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.4% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.9% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions68.3% · rebadged research
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
36
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.322 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.319 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.325 · validated
75
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
156 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.005 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Keith’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.324 — a gap of 0.016, -0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 293 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Young, Cole SEA · L | 0.72 | Walk ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.71 | Chase ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L | 0.62 | Oppo rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-16 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-12 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, R |