Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2021-07-02 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Jake Burger
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 230 lb · Age 30
Club Texas Rangers
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 579 | 68 | 134 | 29 | 1 | .250 | .301 | .460 | .761 |
| 2025 | 376 | 43 | 84 | 16 | 1 | .236 | .269 | .419 | .688 |
| 2026 | 372 | 41 | 81 | 16 | 2 | .240 | .304 | .423 | .727 |
| 6 Seasons | 2092 | 248 | 474 | 104 | 5 | .246 | .298 | .461 | .759 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
69
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.309 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.312 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.289
0.300
0.312
0.323
0.334
wOBA
0.314
0.329
0.345
0.361
0.376
ISO
0.162
0.175
0.189
0.203
0.216
K%
23.3%
24.5%
25.9%
27.3%
28.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.7%
75
Exit velocity90.0
73
Hard-hit%46.8%
83
xBA0.333
63
xSLG0.573
70
xwOBA0.309
52
BB%7.9%
42
+27 vs proj
Bat speed73.2
91
K%26.2%
30
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs1.1 · 1B
62
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · 1B
38
Sprint Speed27.3 · 1B
48
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.8% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions63.2% · rebadged research
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
31
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.278 · borderline
74
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.310 · validated thin sample
6
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.300 · validated
97
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
181 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.025 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Burger’s wOBA sits at 0.345, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.309 — a gap of 0.036, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 390 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Duran, Jarren BOS · L | 0.78 | xwOBA on contactWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R | 0.78 | In-zone contactPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.76 | Walk rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.74 | Barrel rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-25 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.320 xwOBA | 22 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL1 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | HR, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH1 HR | 3 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH2 HR | 4 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 HR, BB, K |