Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Vladimir Guerrero

1B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
16
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.397
xwOBA current pace0.362
xwOBA rolling p500.378
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.349 0.363 0.378 0.393 0.407
wOBA
0.345 0.363 0.384 0.404 0.423
ISO
0.119 0.134 0.151 0.167 0.182
K%
9.7% 10.8% 12.1% 13.3% 14.4%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%12.2%
81
Barrel%5.9%
61 -29 vs proj
Bat speed74.9
97
Exit velocity90.9
83
Hard-hit%45.4%
73 -19 vs proj
K%10.2%
97
xBA0.349
74
xSLG0.483
41
xwOBA0.362
85
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
71
Range Runs0.2 · 1B
46
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.1 · 1B
38
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
93
Sprint Speed25.9 · 1B
18
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.9% · rebadged research
46
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.6% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
59
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
69
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
71
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
22
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Guerrero Jr.., Vladimir · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3602026-05-19: 0.3632026-05-21: 0.3572026-05-23: 0.3622026-05-24: 0.3592026-05-25: 0.3642026-05-26: 0.3642026-05-28: 0.3672026-05-29: 0.3672026-05-30: 0.3642026-05-31: 0.3642026-06-01: 0.362 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Guerrero Jr.., Vladimir · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 44%44%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Guerrero Jr.., Vladimir · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 29.1° Length 7.4 ft Ideal path 38% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Guerrero Jr.., Vladimir · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 2.8° Direction -1.4° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Guerrero Jr.., Vladimir · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 76.3 mph Hard swing rate 62% Whiff / swing 21% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight245 lb
Debut2019-04-26
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.031
wOBA Δ-0.009

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting162026-03-22Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.393 xwOBA | 27 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 1 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E1-3 | RBI
2026-04-20 @ LAA1 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E3-4 | HR, K, 2 RBI
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E1-4 | RBI
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, K
2026-04-14 @ MIL0 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2B, 2 RBI, R