Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-24 |
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals
Iván Herrera
DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 220 lb · Age 26
Club St. Louis Cardinals
Position DH
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 259 | 37 | 69 | 5 | 5 | .301 | .372 | .428 | .800 |
| 2025 | 452 | 54 | 110 | 19 | 8 | .284 | .373 | .464 | .837 |
| 2026 | 709 | 97 | 146 | 19 | 8 | .244 | .355 | .386 | .741 |
| 5 Seasons | 1486 | 194 | 338 | 43 | 21 | .266 | .363 | .413 | .776 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
60
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.335 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.339 |
| Observed weight | 77% |
xwOBA
0.320
0.329
0.339
0.349
0.358
wOBA
0.329
0.340
0.352
0.364
0.375
ISO
0.132
0.141
0.151
0.160
0.169
K%
17.3%
18.2%
19.1%
20.0%
20.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.2%
40
-30 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
69
Hard-hit%40.7%
60
-19 vs proj
xBA0.322
55
xSLG0.500
51
xwOBA0.335
82
BB%10.5%
74
+17 vs proj
Bat speed71.3
74
K%19.2%
71
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.2 · C
60
Catcher Throwing-4.0 · C
2
Framing Runs-0.9 · C
40
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.0 · DH
16
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
93
Sprint Speed26.1 · DH
19
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.7% · rebadged research
66
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions65.3% · rebadged research
41
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
28
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
58
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
54
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.318 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.302 · insufficient sample
92
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.394 · validated
4
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.017 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.001 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Herrera’s wOBA sits at 0.352, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.335 — a gap of 0.018, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 717 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheets, Gavin SD · L | 0.84 | Hard-hit rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.78 | In-zone contactHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Bogaerts, Xander SD · R | 0.75 | Barrel rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Chapman, Matt SF · R | 0.73 | Walk rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-05 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.351 xwOBA | 15 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | BB, 2 HBP |
| 2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HBP |
| 2026-04-17 @ HOU1 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, HBP, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 3 BB |