Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2012-04-28 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Bryce Harper
1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 210 lb · Age 33
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 631 | 85 | 157 | 30 | 7 | .285 | .373 | .525 | .898 |
| 2025 | 580 | 72 | 131 | 27 | 12 | .261 | .357 | .487 | .844 |
| 2026 | 294 | 46 | 63 | 15 | 5 | .256 | .364 | .496 | .860 |
| 15 Seasons | 7959 | 1200 | 1864 | 378 | 157 | .279 | .386 | .518 | .904 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
88
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.357 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.409 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.387 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.358
0.372
0.387
0.402
0.416
wOBA
0.357
0.374
0.393
0.412
0.429
ISO
0.184
0.201
0.221
0.240
0.257
K%
17.8%
19.0%
20.3%
21.6%
22.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
89
Exit velocity90.4
79
Hard-hit%46.2%
79
xBA0.371
89
xSLG0.716
94
xwOBA0.409
98
BB%14.8%
95
+15 vs proj
Bat speed72.5
84
K%19.1%
68
+22 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-9.0 · 1B
2
Range Runs-6.5 · 1B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · 1B
26
SB Success Rate60.0% · 1B
11
Sprint Speed27.1 · 1B
42
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.4% · rebadged research
30
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.1% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
58
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.350 · borderline
0
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.279 · insufficient sample
47
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.287 · validated thin sample
25
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
61
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377 · validated
7
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
18
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
176 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.051 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.035 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Harper’s wOBA sits at 0.393, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.409 — a gap of 0.016, 0.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 298 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-05 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.358 xwOBA | 25 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3B |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC1 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |