Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 34 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2014-09-01 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Joc Pederson
DH · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 34
Club Texas Rangers
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 449 | 62 | 101 | 23 | 7 | .275 | .393 | .515 | .908 |
| 2025 | 306 | 28 | 48 | 9 | 2 | .181 | .285 | .328 | .613 |
| 2026 | 294 | 35 | 59 | 15 | 1 | .235 | .334 | .462 | .796 |
| 13 Seasons | 4905 | 641 | 994 | 233 | 32 | .236 | .338 | .460 | .798 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
83
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.341 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.352 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.347 |
| Observed weight | 59% |
xwOBA
0.318
0.332
0.347
0.363
0.377
wOBA
0.330
0.346
0.365
0.383
0.400
ISO
0.173
0.188
0.205
0.221
0.236
K%
20.4%
21.8%
23.5%
25.1%
26.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.1%
79
Exit velocity91.8
91
Hard-hit%50.0%
91
xBA0.343
72
xSLG0.603
78
xwOBA0.352
86
BB%11.6%
81
Bat speed69.6
49
K%23.8%
41
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 1B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 1B
56
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.4 · 1B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.0 · DH
5
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.9% · rebadged research
68
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.7% · rebadged research
44
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
61
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.322 · borderline
5
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.258 · validated thin sample
94
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.364 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
21
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.359 · validated
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
129 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.023 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Pederson’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.352 — a gap of 0.013, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 311 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Devers, Rafael SF · L | 0.80 | Isolated powerOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Machado, Manny SD · R | 0.78 | Ground-ball rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Seager, Corey TEX · L | 0.72 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Walker, Christian HOU · R | 0.71 | Fly-ball rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-25 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.342 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | R |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | K, R |