Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 192 lb |
| Debut | 2022-09-23 |
Player profile / Colorado Rockies
Ezequiel Tovar
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 192 lb · Age 24
Club Colorado Rockies
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 695 | 83 | 176 | 26 | 6 | .269 | .295 | .469 | .764 |
| 2025 | 390 | 44 | 91 | 9 | 5 | .253 | .294 | .400 | .694 |
| 2026 | 341 | 32 | 63 | 8 | 5 | .200 | .243 | .330 | .573 |
| 5 Seasons | 2076 | 240 | 484 | 59 | 27 | .249 | .283 | .413 | .696 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
33
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.304 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.275 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.286 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.262
0.274
0.286
0.298
0.310
wOBA
0.249
0.264
0.280
0.296
0.310
ISO
0.122
0.136
0.151
0.167
0.180
K%
23.0%
24.2%
25.6%
26.9%
28.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.3%
53
Exit velocity85.9
25
Hard-hit%32.7%
24
-30 vs proj
xBA0.304
30
xSLG0.505
48
xwOBA0.275
20
-23 vs proj
BB%5.6%
18
Bat speed69.5
48
K%25.3%
35
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
58
Arm Strength90.2 · SS
78
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
43
Range Runs0.4 · SS
52
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · SS
64
Sprint Speed27.9 · SS
65
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 52.3% · rebadged research
6
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 17.6% · rebadged research
94
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.265 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.296 · insufficient sample
13
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
70
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.332 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.267 · validated
100
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.364 · validated
37
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
171 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.020 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Tovar’s wOBA sits at 0.280, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.275 — a gap of 0.004, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 360 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lile, Daylen WSH · L | 0.67 | Bat speedWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Merrill, Jackson SD · L | 0.61 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Rafaela, Ceddanne BOS · R | 0.57 | Walk rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R | 0.57 | Swing lengthOppo rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet. | |||
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.299 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, 2 K, R |