Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2025-07-04 |
Player profile / Chicago White Sox
Colson Montgomery
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 230 lb · Age 24
Club Chicago White Sox
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 284 | 43 | 61 | 21 | 0 | .239 | .311 | .529 | .840 |
| 2026 | 634 | 71 | 112 | 31 | 1 | .199 | .284 | .406 | .690 |
| 2 Seasons | 918 | 114 | 173 | 52 | 1 | .211 | .292 | .444 | .736 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
66
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.296 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.301 |
| Observed weight | 75% |
xwOBA
0.282
0.291
0.301
0.312
0.321
wOBA
0.294
0.305
0.317
0.330
0.341
ISO
0.179
0.190
0.202
0.214
0.225
K%
31.1%
32.2%
33.3%
34.5%
35.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.2%
71
Exit velocity88.6
60
Hard-hit%41.4%
65
xBA0.333
68
xSLG0.651
90
xwOBA0.296
43
-26 vs proj
BB%8.5%
51
Bat speed74.6
96
K%35.7%
3
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
53
Arm Strength86.5 · SS
46
Outs Above Avg3.0 · SS
85
Range Runs8.8 · SS
93
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.3 · SS
14
Sprint Speed26.6 · SS
28
SB Success Rate0.0% · SS
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.3% · rebadged research
33
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions65.7% · rebadged research
45
Resists FastballwOBA 0.289 · validated
99
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
33
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
19
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.307 · validated thin sample
8
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.373 · insufficient sample
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.384 · validated
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
234 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.003 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Montgomery’s wOBA sits at 0.317, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.296 — a gap of 0.021, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 656 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Soler, Jorge LAA · R | 0.72 | Barrel ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.69 | Swing lengthFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Mayo, Coby BAL · R | 0.64 | Sweet-spot rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Contreras, Willson BOS · R | 0.62 | Bat speedSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-08-31 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 28 | 2026-09-25 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.922 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.320 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ DET0 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, 2 K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-05-20 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ ATH0 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 4 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |