Mithrandir Metrics
Player Toronto Blue Jays Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Toronto Blue Jays

Daulton Varsho

CF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
11
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Toronto Blue Jays Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.290
xwOBA current pace0.308
xwOBA rolling p500.299
Observed weight53%
xwOBA
0.273 0.285 0.299 0.313 0.325
wOBA
0.339 0.358 0.379 0.400 0.419
ISO
0.136 0.153 0.172 0.190 0.207
K%
19.4% 20.8% 22.3% 23.9% 25.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.9%
50
Barrel%5.3%
54
Bat speed71.0
71
Exit velocity86.0
22
Hard-hit%39.4%
47
K%18.7%
69 +48 vs proj
xBA0.324
52
xSLG0.467
35
xwOBA0.308
48
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · CF
47
Arm Strength89.7 · CF
23
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
45
Range Runs1.0 · CF
68
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.6 · CF
24
Sprint Speed27.2 · CF
47
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.1% · rebadged research
26
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.8% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
41
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.296 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.341 · insufficient sample
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.330 · validated
69
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.386 · validated
7
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Varsho, Daulton · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3122026-05-19: 0.3212026-05-21: 0.3232026-05-23: 0.3162026-05-24: 0.3142026-05-25: 0.3122026-05-26: 0.3122026-05-28: 0.3102026-05-29: 0.3102026-05-30: 0.3082026-05-31: 0.3112026-06-01: 0.308 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Varsho, Daulton · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 18%18%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 82%82%Hard hit: 39%39% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Varsho, Daulton · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 28.1° Length 7.5 ft Ideal path 57% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Varsho, Daulton · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 8.2° Direction -0.7° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Varsho, Daulton · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.3 mph Hard swing rate 31% Whiff / swing 19% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height5' 8"
Weight207 lb
Debut2020-07-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.015
wOBA Δ+0.086

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting112026-05-17Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.293 xwOBA | 18 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4 | 2B, 3 K
2026-04-20 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | HBP, K
2026-04-17 @ AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-15 @ MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-3 | BB, R
2026-04-14 @ MIL1 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-5 | HR, K, RBI