Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Jarren Duran

LF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position LF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.340
xwOBA current pace0.313
xwOBA rolling p500.325
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.299 0.312 0.325 0.339 0.351
wOBA
0.301 0.319 0.338 0.358 0.376
ISO
0.159 0.175 0.192 0.210 0.226
K%
22.3% 23.7% 25.3% 26.9% 28.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%8.5%
43
Barrel%7.7%
81 +18 vs proj
Bat speed73.1
90
Exit velocity90.6
79
Hard-hit%43.4%
65
K%27.3%
24 -23 vs proj
xBA0.348
72
xSLG0.593
73
xwOBA0.313
54 -18 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.6 · LF
28
Arm Strength91.7 · LF
45
Outs Above Avg3.0 · LF
94
Range Runs3.1 · LF
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · LF
83
Bolts4.0 · LF
49
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
93
Sprint Speed29.0 · LF
92
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.1% · rebadged research
34
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.3% · rebadged research
30
Correct Decisions61.7% · rebadged research
14
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
25
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.255 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.274 · insufficient sample
61
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
25
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Duran, Jarren · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.2852026-05-19: 0.2872026-05-21: 0.2992026-05-23: 0.2992026-05-24: 0.2952026-05-25: 0.2922026-05-26: 0.2922026-05-28: 0.3102026-05-29: 0.3102026-05-30: 0.3082026-05-31: 0.3042026-06-01: 0.313 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Duran, Jarren · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 33%33%Whiff: 31%31%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 69%69%Hard hit: 43%43% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Duran, Jarren · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 26.9° Length 7.7 ft Ideal path 57% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Duran, Jarren · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 9.1° Direction -4.9° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Duran, Jarren · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 74.6 mph Hard swing rate 46% Whiff / swing 39% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age29
Height6' 0"
Weight205 lb
Debut2021-07-17
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.024
wOBA Δ+0.002

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-05-19Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 17 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ KC1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-5 | HR, 3B, 2 K
2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R, SB
2026-04-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E0-5 | 3 K, R
2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K