Mithrandir Metrics
Player Washington Nationals Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Washington Nationals

Luis García

1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 216 lb · Age 26

Cards
5
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Washington Nationals Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024528581411822.282.318.444.762
2025526671231614.252.289.412.701
20263194586204.284.317.554.871
7 Seasons26183076627853.268.301.428.729
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
85
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
76
Defense2 metrics
59
Speed2 metrics
26
Plate skills10 metrics
32
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.336
xwOBA current pace0.360
xwOBA rolling p500.351
Observed weight61%
xwOBA
0.327 0.338 0.351 0.363 0.374
wOBA
0.355 0.371 0.389 0.407 0.423
ISO
0.186 0.200 0.215 0.231 0.244
K%
13.7% 14.8% 15.9% 17.1% 18.1%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.8%
90 +20 vs proj
Exit velocity91.5
89
Hard-hit%47.0%
83 +19 vs proj
xBA0.353
80
xSLG0.608
79
xwOBA0.360
89 +16 vs proj
BB%4.4%
10
Bat speed72.2
80
K%15.8%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
68
Range Runs0.4 · 1B
51
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.5 · 1B
27
Sprint Speed26.4 · 1B
25
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 55.6% · rebadged research
13
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.2% · rebadged research
50
Correct Decisions61.9% · rebadged research
15
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline92
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.313 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
38
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
24
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
73
Resists FastballwOBA 0.343 · validated
41
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.360 · validated
48
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA García Jr.., Luis · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.360 2026-07-05: 0.3582026-07-06: 0.3552026-07-07: 0.3552026-07-08: 0.3542026-07-09: 0.3552026-07-10: 0.3652026-07-11: 0.3652026-07-12: 0.3612026-07-13: 0.3612026-07-14: 0.3602026-07-15: 0.3602026-07-16: 0.360 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

188 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart García Jr.., Luis · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 76% of plotted batted ballsCenter 76%Right field third: 15% of plotted batted ballsOppo 15% LF 337 CF 402 RF 335 2026-03-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 17.02026-03-15 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.2 / LA -52.02026-03-15 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.8 / LA -8.02026-03-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 31.9 / LA -75.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.0 / LA -81.02026-03-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.3 / LA 8.02026-03-19 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.6 / LA -11.02026-03-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 87.3 / LA -23.02026-03-21 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.2 / LA 34.02026-03-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 106.5 / LA 23.02026-03-21 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.1 / LA 7.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -31.02026-03-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 2.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA 5.02026-03-23 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 29.02026-03-26 · force out · CH · ground_ball2026-03-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 94.5 / LA 52.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.7 / LA 8.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 42.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 49.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive2026-03-29 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -17.02026-03-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 96.5 / LA 8.02026-03-30 · double · FS · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -15.02026-03-30 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -24.02026-03-30 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 103.0 / LA -4.02026-03-30 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 73.8 / LA -10.02026-03-30 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 84.1 / LA -16.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 93.5 / LA 19.02026-03-31 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.6 / LA -35.02026-03-31 · field out · FS · popup · EV 70.7 / LA 69.02026-04-01 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 5.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA 8.02026-04-03 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 92.7 / LA 16.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA 3.02026-04-03 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 25.02026-04-04 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 13.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.8 / LA 41.02026-04-04 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 17.02026-04-04 · double · KC · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 3.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 80.9 / LA 38.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 81.7 / LA 26.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.6 / LA 24.02026-04-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.4 / LA 30.02026-04-06 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.2 / LA -6.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 49.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 31.02026-04-08 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 77.6 / LA 26.02026-04-08 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA -18.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.2 / LA -12.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.0 / LA -2.02026-04-10 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 93.8 / LA 2.02026-04-10 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -17.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.0 / LA -2.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.5 / LA 74.02026-04-12 · field error · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA -20.02026-04-12 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 4.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.1 / LA 24.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 60.2 / LA 3.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 103.4 / LA -7.02026-04-14 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 104.1 / LA -2.02026-04-15 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -18.02026-04-15 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -15.02026-04-16 · fielders choice · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.4 / LA -24.02026-04-16 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.1 / LA 75.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 110.9 / LA -9.02026-04-17 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -6.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 51.02026-04-18 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 107.6 / LA 2.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.7 / LA -7.02026-04-19 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 82.1 / LA 42.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 81.5 / LA 66.02026-04-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA -16.02026-04-20 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -40.02026-04-21 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 92.1 / LA 22.02026-04-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.2 / LA 14.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 81.3 / LA 51.02026-04-21 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 6.02026-04-21 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 88.3 / LA 16.02026-04-22 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 97.5 / LA 13.02026-04-22 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -6.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -14.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.7 / LA 40.02026-04-24 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 103.4 / LA 43.02026-04-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 81.4 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 17.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.2 / LA 35.02026-04-25 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.7 / LA 15.02026-04-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA -3.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -5.02026-04-26 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 26.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.1 / LA 34.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.5 / LA 2.02026-04-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 107.8 / LA 1.02026-04-28 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 80.9 / LA -26.02026-04-30 · double · CU · line_drive · EV 97.0 / LA 19.02026-04-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 9.02026-04-30 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 106.3 / LA 0.02026-05-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 0.02026-05-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -36.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · popup · EV 82.8 / LA 57.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.2 / LA 36.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 39.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 85.6 / LA 21.02026-05-09 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.4 / LA -5.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 100.4 / LA 17.02026-05-09 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 7.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 92.7 / LA 63.02026-05-09 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.0 / LA -7.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -59.02026-05-10 · triple · FF · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 9.02026-05-10 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 16.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 108.0 / LA -6.02026-05-12 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.8 / LA 7.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.3 / LA 36.02026-05-12 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 28.02026-05-12 · home run · ST · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 24.02026-05-13 · field out · CU · ground_ball2026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.5 / LA 12.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.6 / LA 36.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -36.02026-05-14 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 22.02026-05-15 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 95.5 / LA 32.02026-05-15 · field out · FF · popup · EV 72.5 / LA 74.02026-05-15 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 17.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.1 / LA -8.02026-05-16 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 105.7 / LA 9.02026-05-16 · field out · FC · popup · EV 80.0 / LA 64.02026-05-17 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 110.6 / LA 5.02026-05-17 · field out · CU · popup · EV 70.6 / LA 56.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 15.02026-05-17 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 108.7 / LA 10.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 9.02026-05-18 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.7 / LA 84.02026-05-18 · force out · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.4 / LA -8.02026-05-19 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 40.02026-05-19 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.0 / LA 38.02026-05-19 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 73.6 / LA -6.02026-05-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 107.3 / LA 8.02026-05-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 24.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.9 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · field out · CH · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 62.02026-05-22 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.6 / LA -20.02026-05-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA -5.02026-05-23 · grounded into double play · SL · ground_ball · EV 64.6 / LA -30.02026-05-23 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.6 / LA 14.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.6 / LA -7.02026-05-24 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 92.5 / LA 15.02026-05-25 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA -44.02026-05-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA -3.02026-05-25 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · home run · CH · line_drive · EV 108.1 / LA 19.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -1.02026-05-27 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 69.4 / LA -47.02026-05-31 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -26.02026-05-31 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 111.2 / LA 20.02026-05-31 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.6 / LA 6.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.0 / LA 30.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -60.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 17.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.4 / LA 5.02026-06-05 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 99.0 / LA 39.02026-06-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.1 / LA -23.02026-06-05 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 27.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 8.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 100.8 / LA 8.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA -4.02026-06-07 · field out · CH · popup · EV 75.0 / LA 76.02026-06-07 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -5.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 90.5 / LA -28.02026-06-15 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 90.6 / LA 18.02026-06-15 · field out · CU · popup · EV 76.1 / LA 70.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 104.8 / LA 8.02026-06-22 · home run · CH · fly_ball · EV 108.7 / LA 22.02026-06-22 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.9 / LA -16.02026-06-22 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -14.02026-06-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 40.02026-06-24 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 64.5 / LA 9.02026-06-24 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 30.02026-06-26 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 80.5 / LA 8.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.9 / LA 55.02026-06-30 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 30.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -38.02026-07-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.7 / LA -11.02026-07-01 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 67.8 / LA 5.02026-07-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 24.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile García Jr.., Luis · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 45%45%Chase: 40%40%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed García Jr.., Luis · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.4 mph Hard swing rate 35% Whiff / swing 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height6' 1"
Weight216 lb
Debut2020-08-14
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.028
wOBA Δ+0.057

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.0σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.389
xwOBA (deserved)0.360

García’s wOBA sits at 0.389, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.360 — a gap of 0.029, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 341 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Marte, Ketel AZ · L 0.66 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rate Player · Projection
Burleson, Alec STL · L 0.59 Sweet-spot rateBarrel rate Player · Projection
Canzone, Dominic SEA · L 0.58 Hard-hit rateSwing length Player · Projection
Harris II, Michael ATL · L 0.57 Avg exit velocityWalk rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting52026-07-08Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.333 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E1-2
2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB
2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 1 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E1-2 | BB, RBI, R