Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 210 lb |
| Debut | 2019-04-20 |
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates
Bryan Reynolds
LF · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 210 lb · Age 31
Club Pittsburgh Pirates
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 692 | 73 | 171 | 24 | 10 | .275 | .344 | .447 | .791 |
| 2025 | 654 | 68 | 144 | 16 | 3 | .245 | .318 | .402 | .720 |
| 2026 | 422 | 68 | 99 | 14 | 7 | .283 | .400 | .477 | .877 |
| 8 Seasons | 4422 | 568 | 1065 | 152 | 48 | .272 | .351 | .460 | .811 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.337 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.369 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.358 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.333
0.345
0.358
0.372
0.384
wOBA
0.378
0.392
0.408
0.424
0.438
ISO
0.151
0.164
0.178
0.193
0.206
K%
20.7%
21.8%
23.0%
24.2%
25.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.9%
64
Exit velocity91.1
87
Hard-hit%48.0%
86
xBA0.354
81
xSLG0.620
82
xwOBA0.369
93
+17 vs proj
BB%14.8%
97
+54 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
65
K%22.3%
50
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
46
Arm Strength93.9 · LF
60
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
6
Range Runs-3.8 · LF
12
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · LF
62
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
93
Sprint Speed28.0 · LF
68
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.7% · rebadged research
87
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
78
Correct Decisions71.6% · rebadged research
91
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline110
90
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.284 · borderline
59
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
45
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
56
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
88
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377 · validated
5
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
183 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.032 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.071 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Reynolds’s wOBA sits at 0.408, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.369 — a gap of 0.039, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 440 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.75 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L | 0.68 | Pull rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.65 | Strikeout rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Turang, Brice MIL · L | 0.62 | Fly-ball ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-07-09 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.337 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ STL0 HR | 2 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, K, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 3 BB, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-13 vs WSH0 HR | 4 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3B, HBP, K |