Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Roman Anthony

LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 3", 200 lb · Age 22

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position LF Roster Injured 60-Day Status IL-60
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2025303487584.292.396.463.859
2026130122512.229.354.321.675
2 Seasons4336010096.273.383.421.804
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
82
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
80
Defense2 metrics
36
Speed1 metrics
51
Plate skills10 metrics
54
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.324
xwOBA current pace0.352
xwOBA rolling p500.335
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.298 0.316 0.335 0.355 0.372
wOBA
0.309 0.334 0.361 0.387 0.412
ISO
0.099 0.117 0.137 0.157 0.176
K%
20.2% 22.1% 24.2% 26.3% 28.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
56 -27 vs proj
Exit velocity92.5
95
Hard-hit%49.4%
89
xBA0.377
91
xSLG0.590
74
xwOBA0.352
85
BB%15.2%
98 +21 vs proj
Bat speed74.0
94
K%24.8%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength92.9 · LF
51
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Arm Runs1.0 · LF
Small sample
Range Runs-0.5 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed27.4 · LF
51
SB Success Rate100.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 74.0% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 30.3% · rebadged research
12
Correct Decisions65.6% · rebadged research
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.309 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.270 · insufficient sample
80
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.274 · validated thin sample
69
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
58
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
78
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Anthony, Roman · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.352 2026-07-06: 0.3522026-07-07: 0.3522026-07-08: 0.3522026-07-09: 0.3522026-07-10: 0.3522026-07-11: 0.3522026-07-12: 0.3522026-07-13: 0.3522026-07-14: 0.3522026-07-15: 0.3522026-07-16: 0.3522026-07-17: 0.352 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

84 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Anthony, Roman · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 80% of plotted batted ballsCenter 80%Right field third: 11% of plotted batted ballsOppo 11% LF 310 CF 390 RF 302 2026-03-20 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 14.02026-03-21 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 26.02026-03-23 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 14.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 80.0 / LA 12.02026-03-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 45.02026-03-24 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 70.4 / LA 8.02026-03-24 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA 2.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.6 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 110.2 / LA 3.02026-03-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.0 / LA 12.02026-03-26 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 112.3 / LA -9.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · ground_ball2026-03-28 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 106.5 / LA -4.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA -13.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 25.02026-03-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 14.02026-03-30 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA -1.02026-03-30 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 24.02026-04-01 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 106.9 / LA 32.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 59.1 / LA 10.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 51.02026-04-03 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 1.02026-04-04 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 4.02026-04-04 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 103.1 / LA 14.02026-04-04 · field out · CU · popup · EV 84.1 / LA 46.02026-04-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 45.6 / LA -52.02026-04-05 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 58.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 63.6 / LA -28.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 68.9 / LA -8.02026-04-06 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 25.02026-04-06 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 19.02026-04-06 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 91.8 / LA 31.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 84.5 / LA 42.02026-04-06 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA 5.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 89.6 / LA 19.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.5 / LA -20.02026-04-08 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -19.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.3 / LA 48.02026-04-11 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.7 / LA -5.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 30.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -1.02026-04-12 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 90.4 / LA 11.02026-04-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.1 / LA -8.02026-04-13 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.7 / LA 18.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 99.2 / LA 30.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 105.1 / LA 12.02026-04-14 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 8.02026-04-14 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA -10.02026-04-15 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.2 / LA -15.02026-04-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.6 / LA -1.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 105.6 / LA 15.02026-04-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 45.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 22.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.1 / LA -11.02026-04-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 16.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -27.02026-04-19 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -1.02026-04-20 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 74.5 / LA 15.02026-04-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.2 / LA 8.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -43.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 110.7 / LA 0.02026-04-27 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 66.3 / LA -51.02026-04-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 96.7 / LA 19.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.9 / LA -18.02026-04-28 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.7 / LA 56.02026-04-28 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -30.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 101.5 / LA -12.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -2.02026-04-29 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 24.02026-05-01 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 100.9 / LA 15.02026-05-01 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 12.02026-05-01 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 93.6 / LA -6.02026-05-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.9 / LA 39.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.5 / LA -26.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 20.02026-05-03 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 90.7 / LA 37.02026-05-03 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.5 / LA 26.02026-05-03 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA 4.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.7 / LA -25.02026-05-03 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 25.02026-05-04 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 79.6 / LA 11.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Anthony, Roman · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 21%21%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 49%49% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Anthony, Roman · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 75.4 mph Hard swing rate 52% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age22
Height6' 3"
Weight200 lb
Debut2025-06-09
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.001
wOBA Δ+0.008

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.361
xwOBA (deserved)0.352

Anthony’s wOBA sits at 0.361, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.352 — a gap of 0.008, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 145 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-05-03Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.353 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 3 BB, K, RBI
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-15 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-4 | BB, K, 2 R
2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K
2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | 2B, 2 BB, HBP