Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2021-07-18 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Brandon Marsh
LF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 2", 215 lb · Age 28
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 476 | 55 | 104 | 16 | 19 | .249 | .328 | .419 | .747 |
| 2025 | 425 | 59 | 106 | 11 | 7 | .280 | .342 | .443 | .785 |
| 2026 | 367 | 52 | 102 | 15 | 8 | .297 | .335 | .484 | .819 |
| 6 Seasons | 2461 | 300 | 588 | 67 | 60 | .267 | .333 | .427 | .760 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
76
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.325 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.322 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.323 |
| Observed weight | 63% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.310
0.323
0.337
0.349
wOBA
0.345
0.360
0.376
0.393
0.408
ISO
0.153
0.167
0.183
0.199
0.213
K%
23.8%
25.0%
26.4%
27.8%
29.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.5%
73
Exit velocity89.6
68
Hard-hit%45.7%
79
xBA0.377
91
xSLG0.614
80
xwOBA0.322
65
BB%5.2%
15
-53 vs proj
Bat speed69.8
51
K%25.9%
32
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-3.3 · LF
1
Arm Strength100.5 · LF
95
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs-1.0 · LF
36
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.5 · LF
81
SB Success Rate88.9% · LF
74
Sprint Speed28.2 · LF
73
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 59.3% · rebadged research
22
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.2% · rebadged research
16
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline91
13
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.267 · borderline
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
77
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
76
Resists FastballwOBA 0.384 · validated
4
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.391 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
185 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.006 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.049 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Marsh’s wOBA sits at 0.376, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.055, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 382 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.66 | Ground-ball rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Merrill, Jackson SD · L | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Dingler, Dillon DET · R | 0.63 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Steer, Spencer CIN · R | 0.61 | Isolated powerBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-06-25 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.328 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, R, SB |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | R |
| 2026-04-13 vs CHC0 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 1 E | 3-4 | 2B, BB, 2 RBI |