Mithrandir Metrics
Player Texas Rangers Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Texas Rangers

Evan Carter

CF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Texas Rangers Position CF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.317
xwOBA current pace0.302
xwOBA rolling p500.310
Observed weight49%
xwOBA
0.284 0.296 0.310 0.323 0.335
wOBA
0.265 0.284 0.306 0.327 0.346
ISO
0.134 0.153 0.175 0.197 0.216
K%
18.8% 20.4% 22.2% 24.0% 25.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.7%
91 +34 vs proj
Barrel%4.7%
46
Bat speed68.5
33
Exit velocity86.1
24
Hard-hit%38.5%
43
K%23.2%
41
xBA0.273
13
xSLG0.472
37
xwOBA0.302
41 -17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.4 · CF
37
Arm Strength90.7 · CF
32
Outs Above Avg6.0 · CF
98
Range Runs5.4 · CF
94
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.3 · CF
95
Bolts11.0 · CF
74
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
93
Sprint Speed28.8 · CF
89
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.3% · rebadged research
94
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.8% · rebadged research
34
Correct Decisions70.7% · rebadged research
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.293 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.260 · insufficient sample
93
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
92
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.327 · validated
75
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.354 · validated
55
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
86
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Carter, Evan · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3152026-05-19: 0.3092026-05-21: 0.3042026-05-23: 0.3032026-05-24: 0.3062026-05-25: 0.3062026-05-26: 0.3032026-05-28: 0.2982026-05-29: 0.3052026-05-30: 0.3022026-05-31: 0.3022026-06-01: 0.302 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Carter, Evan · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 50%50%Chase: 20%20%Whiff: 24%24%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 76%76%Hard hit: 38%38% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Carter, Evan · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.2° Length 7.0 ft Ideal path 43% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Carter, Evan · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 6.5° Direction -5.8° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Carter, Evan · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.1 mph Hard swing rate 15% Whiff / swing 23% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age23
Height6' 2"
Weight190 lb
Debut2023-09-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.016
wOBA Δ-0.012

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-04-12Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.318 xwOBA | 10 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K
2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, SB
2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-1 | K
2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, 2 K, R