Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2022-09-02 |
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds
Spencer Steer
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 9", 185 lb · Age 28
Club Cincinnati Reds
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 656 | 74 | 129 | 20 | 25 | .225 | .319 | .402 | .721 |
| 2025 | 568 | 66 | 121 | 21 | 7 | .238 | .312 | .411 | .723 |
| 2026 | 384 | 54 | 81 | 16 | 3 | .238 | .319 | .421 | .740 |
| 5 Seasons | 2381 | 280 | 509 | 82 | 50 | .242 | .327 | .421 | .748 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
78
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.311 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.331 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.306
0.318
0.331
0.344
0.355
wOBA
0.335
0.349
0.365
0.382
0.396
ISO
0.155
0.168
0.183
0.197
0.210
K%
19.8%
20.9%
22.1%
23.3%
24.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.9%
87
+38 vs proj
Exit velocity89.6
72
Hard-hit%42.6%
71
+24 vs proj
xBA0.334
70
xSLG0.614
83
xwOBA0.342
87
+24 vs proj
BB%8.9%
55
Bat speed69.6
49
K%22.0%
55
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · 1B
5
Arm Strength91.3 · 1B
78
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
73
Range Runs-1.6 · 1B
37
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.9 · 1B
77
Bolts1.0 · 1B
11
Sprint Speed28.5 · 1B
80
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.3% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.4% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions68.0% · rebadged research
70
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.298 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
18
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.275 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.375 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.334 · validated
58
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
70
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
187 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.027 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.051 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Steer’s wOBA sits at 0.365, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.342 — a gap of 0.024, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 405 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.71 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Clemens, Kody MIN · L | 0.71 | Strikeout rateBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Yastrzemski, Mike ATL · L | 0.71 | Chase rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.69 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-07-17 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | K, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, HBP, K |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs SF1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, RBI, R |