Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	619	72	142	7	50	.254	.316	.349	.665
2025	659	97	168	18	24	.288	.359	.435	.794
2026	672	101	154	20	19	.268	.366	.447	.813
4 Seasons	2398	316	552	51	119	.260	.336	.390	.726

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-09-26

72

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

65

Defense4 metrics

72

Speed4 metrics

49

Plate skills10 metrics

39

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-09-26

xwOBA preseason	0.318
xwOBA current pace	0.343
xwOBA rolling p50	0.337
Observed weight	76%

xwOBA

0.317 0.326 0.337 0.347 0.356

wOBA

0.354 0.365 0.377 0.390 0.401

ISO

0.153 0.162 0.173 0.183 0.193

K%

22.1% 23.0% 24.1% 25.1% 26.0%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-09-26

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%4.7%

48 +15 vs proj

Exit velocity88.9

63

Hard-hit%41.9%

68 +19 vs proj

xBA0.359

88

xSLG0.601

81

xwOBA0.343

88 +17 vs proj

BB%13.0%

92 +35 vs proj

Bat speed67.2

22

K%24.9%

38 -23 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Runs0.0 · 2B

47

Arm Strength87.1 · 2B

49

Outs Above Avg14.0 · 2B

97

Range Runs9.9 · 2B

95

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs0.5 · 2B

54

Bolts4.0 · 2B

39

SB Success Rate70.6% · 2B

25

Sprint Speed28.5 · 2B

80

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-09-26

Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.9% · rebadged research

84

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.3% · rebadged research

39

Correct Decisions68.2% · rebadged research

72

Resists FastballwOBA 0.338 · validated

47

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106

76

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.313 · borderline

15

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample

1

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.282 · validated thin sample

42

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.353 · insufficient sample

9

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.426 · validated

0

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

Brice Turang's production (80) outpaces the tools grade (61) by 19 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too Low

+8.5° Current 8° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

261 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-1.4σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.377

xwOBA (deserved)0.343

Turang’s wOBA sits at 0.377, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.035, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 687 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Benge, Carson NYM · L	0.74	Max exit velocitySprint speed	Player · Projection
Ewing, A.J. NYM · L	0.72	Ground-ball rateHard-hit rate	Player · Projection
Karros, Kyle COL · R	0.71	Chase rateHard-hit rate	Player · Projection
Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L	0.62	xwOBA on contactGround-ball rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	7	2026-09-12	Impact contact was the main driver
Fielding	23	2026-09-23	5 chances \| 0 difficult plays \| Run Exp -0.424

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA \| 13 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| BB, 2 K
2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, 2 K, R
2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR \| 1 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB, RBI, CS
2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	3-6 \| 3 K, RBI, 2 R
2026-04-12 vs WSH2 HR \| 2 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	3-4 \| 2 HR, BB, 2 RBI

Age	26
Height	6' 0"
Weight	190 lb
Debut	2023-03-30

xwOBA Δ	+0.020
wOBA Δ	+0.054

Hitter Projections 20260.323 xwOBA \| 13 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR \| 0 RBI / 2 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| BB, 2 K
2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, 2 K, R
2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR \| 1 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB, RBI, CS
2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR \| 1 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	3-6 \| 3 K, RBI, 2 R
2026-04-12 vs WSH2 HR \| 2 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	3-4 \| 2 HR, BB, 2 RBI

Brice Turang

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail