Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2021-07-11 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Cal Raleigh
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 235 lb · Age 29
Club Seattle Mariners
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 628 | 73 | 120 | 34 | 6 | .220 | .312 | .436 | .748 |
| 2025 | 705 | 110 | 147 | 60 | 14 | .247 | .359 | .589 | .948 |
| 2026 | 280 | 23 | 41 | 9 | 2 | .169 | .271 | .310 | .581 |
| 6 Seasons | 2745 | 336 | 530 | 162 | 23 | .220 | .310 | .466 | .776 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
45
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.288 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.310 |
| Observed weight | 57% |
xwOBA
0.282
0.295
0.310
0.325
0.338
wOBA
0.249
0.265
0.282
0.300
0.316
ISO
0.151
0.168
0.187
0.206
0.224
K%
27.3%
28.7%
30.3%
31.9%
33.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.4%
71
-23 vs proj
Exit velocity88.4
52
Hard-hit%33.7%
27
-59 vs proj
xBA0.288
20
xSLG0.570
69
xwOBA0.288
29
-57 vs proj
BB%11.8%
83
Bat speed72.3
81
K%32.7%
7
-19 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs2.0 · C
97
Catcher Throwing-0.6 · C
32
Framing Runs-0.8 · C
35
Pop Time2.0 · C
15
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · C
14
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.6% · rebadged research
27
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.0% · rebadged research
84
Correct Decisions65.2% · rebadged research
40
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline100
46
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · borderline
97
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.253 · insufficient sample
97
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.298 · validated thin sample
14
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.320 · insufficient sample
82
Resists FastballwOBA 0.293 · validated
99
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
16
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
122 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.066 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.072 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Raleigh’s wOBA sits at 0.282, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.288 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 297 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gorman, Nolan STL · L | 0.55 | xwOBA on contactWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Montgomery, Colson CWS · L | 0.53 | Swing lengthStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Wells, Austin NYY · L | 0.49 | Avg exit velocitySprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Lewis, Royce MIN · R | 0.45 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-04-21 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.355 xwOBA | 43 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-13 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2 R |