Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 235 lb |
| Debut | 2021-07-11 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Cal Raleigh
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 2", 235 lb · Age 29
Club Seattle Mariners
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 628 | 73 | 120 | 34 | 6 | .220 | .312 | .436 | .748 |
| 2025 | 705 | 110 | 147 | 60 | 14 | .247 | .359 | .589 | .948 |
| 2026 | 520 | 49 | 79 | 23 | 2 | .179 | .294 | .369 | .663 |
| 6 Seasons | 2985 | 362 | 568 | 176 | 23 | .218 | .311 | .464 | .775 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
67
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.339 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.312 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.320 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.297
0.308
0.320
0.332
0.343
wOBA
0.280
0.293
0.306
0.319
0.331
ISO
0.179
0.192
0.206
0.221
0.234
K%
27.7%
28.8%
30.1%
31.3%
32.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
88
Exit velocity90.1
79
Hard-hit%39.9%
57
-32 vs proj
xBA0.300
29
xSLG0.626
86
xwOBA0.312
61
-32 vs proj
BB%13.2%
93
Bat speed72.6
86
K%31.3%
12
-15 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs3.0 · C
97
Catcher Throwing-3.8 · C
5
Framing Runs-4.1 · C
14
Pop Time2.0 · C
14
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.9 · C
15
SB Success Rate66.7% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.3% · rebadged research
29
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.3% · rebadged research
85
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
35
Resists FastballwOBA 0.307 · validated
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.254 · borderline
98
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.276 · insufficient sample
63
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.290 · validated thin sample
25
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
51
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
207 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.042 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.049 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Raleigh’s wOBA sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.312 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 537 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery, Colson CWS · L | 0.61 | Oppo rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.54 | Barrel rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Lowe, Brandon PIT · L | 0.46 | Barrel rateOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Hoskins, Rhys CLE · R | 0.45 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10 | 2026-08-29 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-23 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.132 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.355 xwOBA | 43 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | K |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH1 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |