Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 215 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-12 |
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers
Teoscar Hernández
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 215 lb · Age 33
Club Los Angeles Dodgers
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 652 | 84 | 160 | 33 | 12 | .272 | .339 | .501 | .840 |
| 2025 | 546 | 65 | 126 | 25 | 5 | .247 | .284 | .454 | .738 |
| 2026 | 251 | 36 | 54 | 8 | 2 | .243 | .319 | .387 | .706 |
| 11 Seasons | 4658 | 607 | 1108 | 225 | 61 | .260 | .316 | .479 | .795 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
78
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.336 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.326 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.331 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.314
0.331
0.347
0.361
wOBA
0.325
0.343
0.363
0.383
0.400
ISO
0.139
0.155
0.174
0.192
0.208
K%
24.9%
26.3%
27.8%
29.3%
30.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.4%
81
Exit velocity90.3
78
Hard-hit%45.8%
80
xBA0.356
82
xSLG0.619
81
xwOBA0.326
68
BB%9.6%
62
+39 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
63
K%28.0%
22
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · LF
58
Arm Strength90.6 · LF
27
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
22
Range Runs-1.3 · LF
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · LF
51
Sprint Speed28.3 · LF
77
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.2% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.7% · rebadged research
55
Correct Decisions67.2% · rebadged research
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.285 · insufficient sample
31
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.314 · validated thin sample
4
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.328 · validated
71
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.382 · validated
10
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
143 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.010 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.027 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hernández’s wOBA sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.326 — a gap of 0.037, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 271 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Laureano, Ramón SD · R | 0.74 | Isolated powerxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Riley, Austin ATL · R | 0.67 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Devers, Rafael SF · L | 0.67 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Stewart, Sal CIN · R | 0.65 | Bat speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 10 | 2026-05-20 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ SD1 HR | 2 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-20 @ COL0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K, RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs NYM1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 3 K |