Mithrandir Metrics
Player Boston Red Sox Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Boston Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu

RF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Boston Red Sox Position RF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.324
xwOBA current pace0.351
xwOBA rolling p500.339
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.314 0.326 0.339 0.351 0.363
wOBA
0.322 0.340 0.360 0.380 0.398
ISO
0.147 0.162 0.179 0.195 0.210
K%
18.3% 19.8% 21.5% 23.2% 24.7%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.2%
56
Barrel%8.4%
84
Bat speed72.3
83
Exit velocity89.0
54
Hard-hit%41.6%
58 -18 vs proj
K%19.2%
66 +34 vs proj
xBA0.348
73
xSLG0.597
73
xwOBA0.351
81
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.9 · RF
83
Arm Strength99.9 · RF
95
Outs Above Avg3.0 · RF
94
Range Runs2.6 · RF
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.2 · RF
36
Bolts1.0 · RF
17
SB Success Rate80.0% · RF
49
Sprint Speed28.1 · RF
72
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.0% · rebadged research
43
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.6% · rebadged research
45
Correct Decisions64.8% · rebadged research
37
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
42
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.314 · borderline
11
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.265 · validated thin sample
81
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.350 · insufficient sample
16
Resists FastballwOBA 0.332 · validated
66
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
32
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Abreu, Wilyer · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.3612026-05-21: 0.3542026-05-23: 0.3572026-05-24: 0.3502026-05-25: 0.3472026-05-26: 0.3472026-05-28: 0.3442026-05-29: 0.3442026-05-30: 0.3462026-05-31: 0.3422026-06-01: 0.3512026-06-02: 0.351 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Abreu, Wilyer · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 49%49%Chase: 30%30%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 85%85%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 42%42% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Abreu, Wilyer · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 32.8° Length 7.1 ft Ideal path 50% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Abreu, Wilyer · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 6.7° Direction +0.9° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Abreu, Wilyer · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.8 mph Hard swing rate 38% Whiff / swing 16% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age26
Height5' 10"
Weight215 lb
Debut2023-08-22
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.021
wOBA Δ+0.030

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-05-08Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.329 xwOBA | 19 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 1 E1-5 | 3 K
2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, K, RBI
2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K
2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-13 @ MIN0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E2-3 | BB, K, RBI