Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 180 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-29 |
Player profile / Arizona Diamondbacks
Corbin Carroll
RF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 10", 180 lb · Age 26
Club Arizona Diamondbacks
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 684 | 121 | 136 | 22 | 35 | .231 | .322 | .428 | .750 |
| 2025 | 642 | 107 | 146 | 31 | 32 | .259 | .343 | .541 | .884 |
| 2026 | 671 | 91 | 139 | 22 | 21 | .239 | .328 | .467 | .795 |
| 5 Seasons | 2757 | 448 | 609 | 104 | 144 | .253 | .338 | .485 | .823 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
86
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.347 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.342 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.343 |
| Observed weight | 76% |
xwOBA
0.322
0.332
0.343
0.354
0.364
wOBA
0.334
0.345
0.358
0.370
0.381
ISO
0.207
0.218
0.230
0.242
0.253
K%
20.7%
21.6%
22.6%
23.6%
24.5%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.0%
88
Exit velocity91.9
93
Hard-hit%49.1%
92
xBA0.339
73
xSLG0.606
81
xwOBA0.342
87
BB%11.0%
80
Bat speed74.1
95
K%23.0%
51
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-5.4 · RF
1
Arm Strength89.1 · RF
16
Outs Above Avg11.0 · RF
99
Range Runs9.8 · RF
96
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs8.6 · RF
100
Bolts60.0 · RF
94
SB Success Rate90.5% · RF
83
Sprint Speed29.7 · RF
97
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.2% · rebadged research
64
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.6% · rebadged research
56
Correct Decisions66.9% · rebadged research
57
Resists FastballwOBA 0.388 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
67
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
12
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.271 · validated thin sample
75
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.307 · insufficient sample
87
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.385 · validated
8
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
288 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.001 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Carroll’s wOBA sits at 0.358, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.342 — a gap of 0.016, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 684 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R | 0.70 | Ground-ball rateWalk rate | Player · Projection |
| Burger, Jake TEX · R | 0.69 | Swing lengthIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Abrams, CJ WSH · L | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Gelof, Zack ATH · R | 0.61 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-08-23 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 37 | 2026-09-26 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.570 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.357 xwOBA | 23 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 3B, 2B, 2 BB |
| 2026-04-17 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, 2 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 2B, BB, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-13 @ BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |