Mithrandir Metrics
Player St. Louis Cardinals Refreshed Jun 1 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson

1B profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
4
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club St. Louis Cardinals Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-01
xwOBA preseason0.341
xwOBA current pace0.376
xwOBA rolling p500.360
Observed weight54%
xwOBA
0.335 0.347 0.360 0.373 0.384
wOBA
0.342 0.361 0.381 0.401 0.419
ISO
0.123 0.138 0.154 0.171 0.186
K%
12.5% 13.6% 14.8% 16.1% 17.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-01
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%9.2%
56 +27 vs proj
Barrel%7.3%
77 +17 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
Exit velocity91.1
85
Hard-hit%47.4%
83 +21 vs proj
K%15.8%
84
xBA0.347
72
xSLG0.634
81
xwOBA0.376
91 +17 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · 1B
27
Range Runs0.1 · 1B
43
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.7 · 1B
68
Sprint Speed25.6 · 1B
13
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Limited
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-01
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.2% · rebadged research
39
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.6% · rebadged research
26
Correct Decisions64.6% · rebadged research
35
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
35
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.314 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
62
Resists FastballwOBA 0.349 · validated
34
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
35
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Burleson, Alec · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-17: 0.3792026-05-19: 0.3792026-05-21: 0.3882026-05-23: 0.3912026-05-24: 0.3912026-05-25: 0.3912026-05-26: 0.3862026-05-28: 0.3822026-05-29: 0.3822026-05-30: 0.3822026-05-31: 0.3752026-06-01: 0.376 2026-05-17 2026-06-01 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Burleson, Alec · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 20%20%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 80%80%Hard hit: 47%47% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture.

2026
Mithrandir Metrics SWING PATH Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Swing Path Burleson, Alec · aggregate bat-tracking arc Swing tilt 35.2° Length 7.4 ft Ideal path 53% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics ATTACK ANGLE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Attack Angle Burleson, Alec · aggregate attack vector Attack angle 12.1° Direction +4.3° MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Burleson, Alec · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.9 mph Hard swing rate 16% Whiff / swing 17% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age27
Height6' 0"
Weight225 lb
Debut2022-09-08
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.038
wOBA Δ+0.043

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting42026-05-19Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.338 xwOBA | 18 HRProjection
2026-05-20 vs PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E1-2 | BB, HBP
2026-04-20 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E0-4 | K
2026-04-17 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 11 Ch | 1 E2-4 | 2B, BB, K
2026-04-15 vs CLE0 HR | 2 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2 K, 2 RBI
2026-04-14 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K