Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2022-08-10 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Kerry Carpenter
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 29
Club Detroit Tigers
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-60
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 296 | 37 | 75 | 18 | 0 | .284 | .345 | .587 | .932 |
| 2025 | 464 | 66 | 109 | 26 | 1 | .252 | .291 | .497 | .788 |
| 2026 | 259 | 27 | 48 | 13 | 0 | .208 | .276 | .416 | .692 |
| 5 Seasons | 1591 | 203 | 374 | 83 | 7 | .258 | .314 | .492 | .806 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
64
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.337 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.295 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.313 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.290
0.301
0.313
0.326
0.337
wOBA
0.297
0.314
0.332
0.351
0.368
ISO
0.174
0.190
0.209
0.227
0.243
K%
23.2%
24.5%
26.0%
27.5%
28.9%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.7%
63
-27 vs proj
Exit velocity90.0
77
Hard-hit%45.0%
81
xBA0.315
47
xSLG0.578
75
xwOBA0.295
42
-49 vs proj
BB%7.1%
34
Bat speed70.1
58
K%28.6%
21
-25 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · RF
46
Arm Strength94.2 · RF
55
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · RF
25
Range Runs-6.8 · RF
6
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.9 · RF
35
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 60.2% · rebadged research
24
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.1% · rebadged research
73
Correct Decisions61.6% · rebadged research
14
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.273 · borderline
82
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
92
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.334 · validated thin sample
1
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.335 · insufficient sample
25
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.353 · validated
61
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline98
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
99 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.052 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.015 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Carpenter’s wOBA sits at 0.332, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.295 — a gap of 0.037, -1.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 283 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-04-18 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 1 | 2026-07-23 | 6 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.560 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.348 xwOBA | 24 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |
| 2026-04-12 vs MIA1 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HR, BB, K |
| 2026-04-11 vs MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, HBP |
| 2026-04-09 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 2 K |