Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-17 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Dansby Swanson
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 32
Club Chicago Cubs
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 593 | 82 | 129 | 16 | 19 | .242 | .312 | .390 | .702 |
| 2025 | 645 | 84 | 144 | 24 | 20 | .244 | .300 | .417 | .717 |
| 2026 | 262 | 39 | 40 | 7 | 6 | .179 | .284 | .313 | .597 |
| 11 Seasons | 5525 | 719 | 1226 | 171 | 112 | .247 | .316 | .409 | .725 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
38
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.285 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.302 |
| Observed weight | 56% |
xwOBA
0.274
0.287
0.302
0.317
0.331
wOBA
0.267
0.284
0.303
0.321
0.338
ISO
0.107
0.122
0.138
0.154
0.169
K%
22.3%
23.7%
25.2%
26.7%
28.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.0%
35
-31 vs proj
Exit velocity89.2
58
Hard-hit%41.8%
59
xBA0.269
9
xSLG0.470
36
xwOBA0.285
28
-40 vs proj
BB%11.9%
82
+36 vs proj
Bat speed69.1
43
K%25.2%
33
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.2 · SS
79
Arm Strength85.6 · SS
48
Outs Above Avg7.0 · SS
98
Range Runs5.3 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.9 · SS
96
Bolts1.0 · SS
17
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
95
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.0% · rebadged research
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.9% · rebadged research
91
Correct Decisions71.5% · rebadged research
92
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.264 · borderline
90
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.245 · validated thin sample
98
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.359 · validated
18
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.377 · validated
14
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
156 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.045 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.028 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Swanson’s wOBA sits at 0.303, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.285 — a gap of 0.017, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 278 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-04-24 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.331 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI1 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, 2 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 BB, K, 2 R |