Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 32 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-17 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Dansby Swanson
SS · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 32
Club Chicago Cubs
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 593 | 82 | 129 | 16 | 19 | .242 | .312 | .390 | .702 |
| 2025 | 645 | 84 | 144 | 24 | 20 | .244 | .300 | .417 | .717 |
| 2026 | 482 | 82 | 91 | 19 | 17 | .214 | .297 | .400 | .697 |
| 11 Seasons | 5745 | 762 | 1277 | 183 | 123 | .248 | .316 | .412 | .728 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
53
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.324 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.302 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.308 |
| Observed weight | 70% |
xwOBA
0.285
0.296
0.308
0.321
0.332
wOBA
0.306
0.319
0.333
0.347
0.360
ISO
0.148
0.159
0.172
0.185
0.196
K%
21.9%
23.0%
24.2%
25.4%
26.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.6%
45
-26 vs proj
Exit velocity89.3
69
Hard-hit%41.4%
65
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.520
57
xwOBA0.302
50
-28 vs proj
BB%10.0%
68
+19 vs proj
Bat speed69.7
50
K%23.7%
46
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · SS
61
Arm Strength88.0 · SS
58
Outs Above Avg16.0 · SS
99
Range Runs11.3 · SS
97
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.1 · SS
93
Bolts1.0 · SS
11
SB Success Rate92.9% · SS
85
Sprint Speed28.3 · SS
75
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.8% · rebadged research
84
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 19.0% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions72.5% · rebadged research
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline113
95
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.282 · borderline
68
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.261 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
43
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.373 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.366 · validated
29
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
210 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.029 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.002 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Swanson’s wOBA sits at 0.333, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.302 — a gap of 0.031, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 502 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chisholm Jr., Jazz NYY · L | 0.85 | Sprint speedAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Hernández, Heriberto MIA · R | 0.69 | Sprint speedFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Lindor, Francisco NYM · L | 0.67 | Swing lengthPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Happ, Ian CHC · L | 0.67 | Hard-hit rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-09-19 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 15 | 2026-09-24 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -1.863 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.331 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI1 HR | 3 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, K, 3 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | BB, RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI1 HR | 2 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, 2 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 BB, K, 2 R |