Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	614	74	120	19	16	.220	.303	.371	.674
2025	586	106	154	32	18	.309	.399	.560	.959
2026	293	31	56	9	6	.218	.303	.374	.677
13 Seasons	6668	1013	1536	302	126	.264	.351	.473	.824

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16

48

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

54

Speed3 metrics

20

Plate skills10 metrics

61

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16

xwOBA preseason	0.334
xwOBA current pace	0.305
xwOBA rolling p50	0.317
Observed weight	59%

xwOBA

0.289 0.303 0.317 0.332 0.345

wOBA

0.328 0.344 0.363 0.381 0.398

ISO

0.153 0.167 0.183 0.198 0.212

K%

17.6% 18.8% 20.0% 21.3% 22.4%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%6.4%

71

Exit velocity88.6

55

Hard-hit%39.3%

50

xBA0.294

24

xSLG0.485

40

xwOBA0.305

47 -28 vs proj

BB%10.3%

70

Bat speed70.2

58

K%19.6%

68

Baserunning · percentile strip

Base Running Runs-1.1 · DH

14

SB Success Rate60.0% · DH

11

Sprint Speed26.9 · DH

37

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16

Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research

72

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.4% · rebadged research

82

Correct Decisions72.0% · rebadged research

92

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108

85

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.290 · borderline

42

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.282 · insufficient sample

39

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.288 · validated thin sample

31

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample

37

Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated

32

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.320 · validated

98

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Hitter optimization

Swing path and decision map

George Springer's tools (77) outpace production (79) by -2 points. Primary finding: groundball-heavy approach with the raw power to drive the ball — leaving fly-ball damage on the table. Most actionable fix: elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range.

See full optimization →

See the swing in 3D →

Launch Angle Too Low

+13.7° Current 2° → Target 16°

Elevate bat path to increase average launch angle toward 12-18° range

Solid = current angle. Dotted = recommended window.

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

154 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.0σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.363

xwOBA (deserved)0.305

Springer’s wOBA sits at 0.363, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.305 — a gap of 0.058, -2.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 312 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L	0.78	Swing lengthSweet-spot rate	Player · Projection
Walker, Christian HOU · R	0.75	Ground-ball rateSwing length	Player · Projection
Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L	0.74	Whiff rateIsolated power	Player · Projection
Sheets, Gavin SD · L	0.73	Pull rateAvg exit velocity	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
Hitting	15	2026-07-08	Disciplined swing decisions drove the score

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA \| 24 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, SB
2026-04-11 vs MIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| BB, R
2026-04-08 vs LAD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	2-5 \| 2B, RBI
2026-04-07 vs LAD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-06 vs LAD0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB, R

Age	36
Height	6' 1"
Weight	220 lb
Debut	2014-04-16

xwOBA Δ	-0.030
wOBA Δ	+0.027

Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA \| 24 HR	Projection
2026-05-20 @ NYY0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| K, SB
2026-04-11 vs MIN0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-1 \| BB, R
2026-04-08 vs LAD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	2-5 \| 2B, RBI
2026-04-07 vs LAD0 HR \| 1 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, K, RBI
2026-04-06 vs LAD0 HR \| 0 RBI / 0 Ch \| 0 E	0-2 \| BB, R

George Springer

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Swing path and decision map

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail