Mithrandir Metrics
Player Colorado Rockies Refreshed Jun 14 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Colorado Rockies

Brenton Doyle

CF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 223 lb · Age 28

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Colorado Rockies Position CF Roster Injured 10-Day Status IL-10
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2024603821412330.260.317.446.763
2025538571171518.233.274.376.650
2026122212319.207.279.270.549
4 Seasons16942083624979.233.284.385.669
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
27
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
31
Defense4 metrics
51
Speed4 metrics
65
Plate skills10 metrics
46
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-14
xwOBA preseason0.309
xwOBA current pace0.248
xwOBA rolling p500.285
Observed weight40%
xwOBA
0.256 0.269 0.285 0.300 0.314
wOBA
0.295 0.319 0.345 0.372 0.396
ISO
0.079 0.099 0.120 0.142 0.161
K%
24.7% 26.4% 28.2% 30.0% 31.6%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-14
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.1%
37 -21 vs proj
Exit velocity87.0
33
Hard-hit%34.9%
29 -32 vs proj
xBA0.309
34
xSLG0.436
25
xwOBA0.248
5 -38 vs proj
BB%9.0%
53 +33 vs proj
Bat speed69.5
48
K%29.0%
17
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
20
Arm Strength98.9 · CF
93
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
43
Range Runs-0.2 · CF
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · CF
61
Bolts7.0 · CF
65
SB Success Rate80.0% · CF
46
Sprint Speed28.7 · CF
87
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-06-14
Avoids Bad ChasesST 58.1% · rebadged research
17
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
60
Correct Decisions63.3% · rebadged research
23
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.256 · borderline
96
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
40
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
67
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.344 · insufficient sample
23
Resists FastballwOBA 0.320 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline95
21
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Doyle, Brenton · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.312 0.248 2026-06-03: 0.2482026-06-04: 0.2482026-06-05: 0.2482026-06-06: 0.2482026-06-07: 0.2482026-06-08: 0.2482026-06-09: 0.2482026-06-10: 0.2482026-06-11: 0.2482026-06-12: 0.2482026-06-13: 0.2482026-06-14: 0.248 2026-06-03 2026-06-14 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

90 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Doyle, Brenton · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 10% of plotted batted ballsPull 10%Center field third: 84% of plotted batted ballsCenter 84%Right field third: 6% of plotted batted ballsOppo 6% LF 347 CF 415 RF 350 2026-03-15 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -45.02026-03-15 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 5.02026-03-15 · force out · SI · ground_ball2026-03-17 · force out · FC · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 5.02026-03-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 87.6 / LA 53.02026-03-19 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 112.0 / LA 15.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.6 / LA -29.02026-03-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 55.9 / LA 25.02026-03-20 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 28.02026-03-20 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 106.1 / LA 8.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 68.9 / LA 18.02026-03-22 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 41.02026-03-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 0.02026-03-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -48.02026-03-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 37.02026-03-23 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA 2.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -7.02026-03-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.0 / LA 36.02026-03-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 85.0 / LA 27.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 90.0 / LA 34.02026-03-27 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 86.8 / LA 10.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.2 / LA 6.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · popup · EV 86.0 / LA 64.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 49.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 18.02026-03-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 71.7 / LA -14.02026-03-29 · field error · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 7.02026-03-29 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 80.6 / LA -19.02026-03-30 · double · FA · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 18.02026-03-30 · field out · EP · fly_ball · EV 94.0 / LA 32.02026-03-30 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 101.0 / LA 0.02026-03-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.1 / LA 16.02026-04-01 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 104.5 / LA 3.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.3 / LA -21.02026-04-03 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 3.02026-04-04 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 79.3 / LA -23.02026-04-05 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 19.02026-04-06 · fielders choice · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.6 / LA -17.02026-04-08 · single · ST · ground_ball · EV 25.2 / LA -41.02026-04-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 6.02026-04-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 93.6 / LA 54.02026-04-09 · fielders choice out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.9 / LA 0.02026-04-09 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 23.02026-04-09 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 19.02026-04-10 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 43.02026-04-10 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 52.4 / LA -65.02026-04-14 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 85.8 / LA -20.02026-04-15 · single · SL · fly_ball · EV 66.5 / LA 36.02026-04-16 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 102.0 / LA -7.02026-04-16 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -9.02026-04-16 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 78.3 / LA 20.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.6 / LA 53.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 40.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 69.5 / LA -39.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 76.7 / LA -8.02026-04-19 · single · FF · ground_ball2026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 49.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 81.6 / LA 6.02026-04-20 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 109.4 / LA 18.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 70.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 18.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.2 / LA -14.02026-04-23 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 102.9 / LA 11.02026-04-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -8.02026-04-26 · field out · FO · fly_ball · EV 82.2 / LA 31.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 6.02026-04-29 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 97.9 / LA 9.02026-04-29 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 61.3 / LA -22.02026-04-29 · single · EP · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA 8.02026-04-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball2026-04-30 · force out · CU · ground_ball2026-05-01 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 71.8 / LA 11.02026-05-02 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 84.6 / LA 54.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 5.02026-05-04 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 77.6 / LA -35.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 75.9 / LA 37.02026-05-08 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 88.7 / LA -21.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.2 / LA -33.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 52.7 / LA -82.02026-05-10 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 82.9 / LA -10.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 60.9 / LA 67.02026-05-13 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 97.4 / LA 2.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.2 / LA -13.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.5 / LA -28.02026-05-14 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 107.1 / LA 17.02026-05-16 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 104.3 / LA -3.02026-05-16 · double · CH · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 20.02026-05-16 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 58.2 / LA -33.02026-05-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 87.4 / LA -35.02026-05-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 16.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Doyle, Brenton · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 34%34%Whiff: 25%25%Zone contact: 89%89%Contact: 75%75%Hard hit: 35%35% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Doyle, Brenton · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.9 mph Hard swing rate 20% Whiff / swing 24% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 3"
Weight223 lb
Debut2023-04-24
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.055
wOBA Δ+0.042

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-2.7σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.345
xwOBA (deserved)0.248

Doyle’s wOBA sits at 0.345, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.248 — a gap of 0.097, -2.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 145 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-04-09Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.303 xwOBA | 16 HRProjection
2026-04-20 vs LAD0 HR | 1 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E1-5 | 2B, RBI
2026-04-17 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E0-3 | K
2026-04-15 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-2 | K, SB
2026-04-14 @ HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E1-2 | K, CS
2026-04-12 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-2 | BB, 2 K, R