Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-05 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
José Tena
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 10", 195 lb · Age 25
Club Washington Nationals
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 168 | 14 | 43 | 3 | 6 | .267 | .298 | .354 | .652 |
| 2025 | 169 | 19 | 37 | 0 | 3 | .243 | .314 | .355 | .669 |
| 2026 | 187 | 24 | 42 | 5 | 3 | .246 | .310 | .415 | .725 |
| 4 Seasons | 558 | 59 | 129 | 8 | 12 | .250 | .306 | .371 | .677 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.316 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.313 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.315 |
| Observed weight | 48% |
xwOBA
0.282
0.297
0.315
0.332
0.347
wOBA
0.291
0.311
0.334
0.356
0.377
ISO
0.110
0.128
0.149
0.169
0.187
K%
23.2%
24.9%
26.8%
28.6%
30.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
48
Exit velocity91.6
90
Hard-hit%48.8%
88
+24 vs proj
xBA0.374
90
xSLG0.593
75
xwOBA0.313
57
BB%7.0%
30
Bat speed71.8
77
K%28.9%
19
-42 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.1 · 2B
Small sample
Outs Above Avg0.0 · 2B
59
Regression applied
Range Runs-1.4 · 2B
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · DH
68
Bolts1.0 · DH
15
Sprint Speed27.8 · DH
61
SB Success Rate75.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 61.7% · rebadged research
31
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.7% · rebadged research
35
Correct Decisions64.0% · rebadged research
29
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.266 · borderline
88
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.267 · insufficient sample
85
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.268 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.345 · insufficient sample
21
Resists FastballwOBA 0.339 · validated
47
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.385 · validated
9
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline96
26
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
94 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Tena’s wOBA sits at 0.334, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.020, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 201 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-05-06 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.315 xwOBA | 5 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 2B, K, RBI |
| 2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-13 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | HBP, R |