Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 195 lb |
| Debut | 2019-04-17 |
Player profile / Atlanta Braves
Lane Thomas
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 195 lb · Age 31
Club Atlanta Braves
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 528 | 65 | 112 | 15 | 32 | .237 | .309 | .400 | .709 |
| 2025 | 142 | 10 | 20 | 4 | 4 | .160 | .246 | .272 | .518 |
| 2026 | 374 | 37 | 73 | 11 | 9 | .224 | .318 | .383 | .701 |
| 8 Seasons | 2622 | 321 | 562 | 87 | 80 | .239 | .310 | .413 | .723 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
59
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.294 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.311 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.305 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.277
0.290
0.305
0.320
0.334
wOBA
0.308
0.323
0.339
0.355
0.369
ISO
0.124
0.139
0.155
0.172
0.187
K%
23.1%
24.3%
25.7%
27.1%
28.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.3%
42
Exit velocity89.2
67
Hard-hit%40.8%
61
xBA0.333
69
xSLG0.511
55
xwOBA0.311
59
BB%12.2%
88
+50 vs proj
Bat speed70.6
66
K%24.9%
37
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs2.8 · CF
91
Arm Strength96.8 · CF
72
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
25
Range Runs-6.2 · CF
9
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.8 · CF
75
Bolts16.0 · CF
72
SB Success Rate85.7% · CF
66
Sprint Speed29.1 · CF
91
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.0% · rebadged research
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.1% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions67.5% · rebadged research
64
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.277 · borderline
76
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.268 · insufficient sample
84
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.306 · validated thin sample
9
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
52
Resists FastballwOBA 0.322 · validated
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.370 · validated
23
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
130 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.039 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Thomas’s wOBA sits at 0.339, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.311 — a gap of 0.027, -1.0 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 393 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Langford, Wyatt TEX · R | 0.72 | xwOBA on contactSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Henderson, Gunnar BAL · L | 0.68 | Avg exit velocityWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Beavers, Dylan BAL · L | 0.67 | Sprint speedxwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.67 | Strikeout rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-07-18 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 13 | 2026-09-07 | 5 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.156 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.299 xwOBA | 11 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, K |
| 2026-05-20 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-20 vs BAL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | BB, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ NYY0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 |
| 2026-04-15 @ DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |