Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 30 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 180 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Louisville Bats
Tj Friedl
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 8", 180 lb · Age 30
Club Louisville Bats
Position CF
Roster Reassigned to Minors
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 341 | 35 | 67 | 13 | 9 | .226 | .310 | .380 | .690 |
| 2025 | 685 | 82 | 151 | 14 | 12 | .261 | .364 | .378 | .742 |
| 2026 | 178 | 15 | 28 | 2 | 5 | .179 | .259 | .256 | .515 |
| 6 Seasons | 2054 | 247 | 445 | 56 | 60 | .251 | .336 | .400 | .736 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
12
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.292 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.250 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.273 |
| Observed weight | 47% |
xwOBA
0.245
0.258
0.273
0.287
0.300
wOBA
0.258
0.278
0.300
0.322
0.342
ISO
0.087
0.102
0.119
0.136
0.151
K%
16.9%
18.2%
19.8%
21.3%
22.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
13
Exit velocity84.0
10
Hard-hit%33.6%
25
xBA0.272
11
xSLG0.370
7
xwOBA0.250
6
-32 vs proj
BB%7.8%
38
-24 vs proj
Bat speed66.1
13
K%22.8%
44
-37 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.0 · CF
19
Arm Strength89.9 · CF
24
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · CF
20
Range Runs1.0 · CF
67
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.7 · CF
33
SB Success Rate100.0% · CF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.7% · rebadged research
70
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.1% · rebadged research
39
Correct Decisions67.4% · rebadged research
62
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
58
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
28
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.239 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
78
Resists FastballwOBA 0.305 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
28
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
126 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.046 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.003 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Friedl’s wOBA sits at 0.300, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.250 — a gap of 0.050, -1.5 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 193 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-16 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 16 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | R |
| 2026-04-12 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |