Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 8" |
| Weight | 180 lb |
| Debut | 2021-09-18 |
Player profile / Louisville Bats
Tj Friedl
CF · Bats/Throws L/L · 5' 8", 180 lb · Age 31
Club Louisville Bats
Position CF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Out / inactive
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 341 | 35 | 67 | 13 | 9 | .226 | .310 | .380 | .690 |
| 2025 | 685 | 82 | 151 | 14 | 12 | .261 | .364 | .378 | .742 |
| 2026 | 272 | 20 | 41 | 4 | 5 | .172 | .255 | .255 | .510 |
| 6 Seasons | 2148 | 252 | 458 | 58 | 60 | .246 | .333 | .394 | .727 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
11
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.1%
13
Exit velocity83.2
9
Hard-hit%31.5%
21
xBA0.263
9
xSLG0.367
6
xwOBA0.250
10
BB%8.4%
50
Bat speed66.0
12
K%22.6%
52
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.7 · CF
36
Arm Strength89.9 · CF
19
Outs Above Avg0.0 · CF
50
Range Runs3.9 · CF
82
Baserunning · percentile strip
SB Success Rate80.0% · CF
49
Sprint Speed26.7 · CF
30
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.2% · rebadged research
80
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.8% · rebadged research
42
Correct Decisions68.3% · rebadged research
73
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
75
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
66
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.292 · insufficient sample
21
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.236 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.311 · insufficient sample
83
Resists FastballwOBA 0.306 · validated
95
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.363 · validated
35
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
144 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Friedl’s wOBA sits at 0.278, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.250 — a gap of 0.028, -0.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 287 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-03-16 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 8 | 2026-09-09 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.914 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-04-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | R |
| 2026-04-12 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-11 vs LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |