Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 2" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2022-06-18 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Riley Greene
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 2", 200 lb · Age 25
Club Detroit Tigers
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 584 | 82 | 134 | 24 | 4 | .262 | .348 | .479 | .827 |
| 2025 | 655 | 84 | 155 | 36 | 2 | .258 | .313 | .493 | .806 |
| 2026 | 404 | 49 | 100 | 13 | 2 | .288 | .381 | .464 | .845 |
| 5 Seasons | 2477 | 312 | 593 | 89 | 16 | .268 | .340 | .455 | .795 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
91
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.352 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.364 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.360 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.336
0.347
0.360
0.373
0.384
wOBA
0.367
0.382
0.398
0.414
0.428
ISO
0.167
0.180
0.195
0.210
0.223
K%
24.4%
25.6%
26.9%
28.2%
29.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.3%
87
Exit velocity91.4
89
Hard-hit%50.2%
92
xBA0.382
93
xSLG0.699
94
xwOBA0.364
91
BB%12.1%
85
+35 vs proj
Bat speed74.1
95
K%27.0%
26
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.8 · LF
3
Arm Strength86.1 · LF
7
Outs Above Avg1.0 · LF
80
Range Runs1.3 · LF
65
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.4 · LF
31
Sprint Speed26.6 · LF
29
SB Success Rate50.0% · LF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.6% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.6% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions69.9% · rebadged research
84
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.340 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
78
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.278 · validated thin sample
58
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
22
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
56
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.420 · validated
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
184 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.008 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.042 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Greene’s wOBA sits at 0.398, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.364 — a gap of 0.034, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 423 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.81 | xwOBA on contactIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Alonso, Pete BAL · R | 0.78 | In-zone contactBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| McMahon, Ryan NYY · L | 0.71 | Pull rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R | 0.70 | Chase rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-07-10 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.356 xwOBA | 27 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 2 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2B, 2 BB, 2 RBI |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | K |