Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 217 lb |
| Debut | 2020-07-24 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
William Contreras
C · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 217 lb · Age 28
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 679 | 99 | 167 | 23 | 9 | .281 | .365 | .466 | .831 |
| 2025 | 659 | 89 | 147 | 17 | 6 | .260 | .355 | .399 | .754 |
| 2026 | 384 | 48 | 97 | 9 | 1 | .282 | .344 | .398 | .742 |
| 7 Seasons | 2904 | 392 | 699 | 94 | 24 | .274 | .355 | .441 | .796 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
67
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.342 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.337 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.339 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.325
0.339
0.352
0.364
wOBA
0.335
0.350
0.366
0.382
0.397
ISO
0.128
0.141
0.154
0.168
0.181
K%
14.0%
15.0%
16.2%
17.3%
18.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
69
Exit velocity90.4
80
Hard-hit%43.5%
69
-18 vs proj
xBA0.325
55
xSLG0.522
55
xwOBA0.337
76
BB%8.1%
44
-28 vs proj
Bat speed71.2
72
K%13.6%
91
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs-1.1 · C
14
Catcher Throwing4.0 · C
100
Framing Runs-5.1 · C
5
Pop Time1.9 · C
71
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-2.4 · C
4
Sprint Speed25.6 · C
12
SB Success Rate33.3% · C
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 68.0% · rebadged research
63
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
81
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
77
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.287 · borderline
50
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.283 · insufficient sample
37
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.303 · validated thin sample
10
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample
10
Resists FastballwOBA 0.345 · validated
37
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.383 · validated
9
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
220 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.011 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.018 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Contreras’s wOBA sits at 0.366, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.337 — a gap of 0.029, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 397 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cortes, Carlos ATH · L | 0.77 | Strikeout ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Herrera, Iván STL · R | 0.73 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Grissom, Vaughn LAA · R | 0.72 | Walk rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Kelly, Carson CHC · R | 0.72 | In-zone contactSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 11 | 2026-06-26 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.348 xwOBA | 19 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | 2B |
| 2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR | 1 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | BB, RBI |
| 2026-04-12 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | BB, K, R |