Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 206 lb |
| Debut | 2016-06-26 |
Player profile / Texas Rangers
Brandon Nimmo
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 1", 206 lb · Age 33
Club Texas Rangers
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 663 | 88 | 128 | 23 | 15 | .224 | .327 | .399 | .726 |
| 2025 | 652 | 81 | 154 | 25 | 13 | .262 | .324 | .436 | .760 |
| 2026 | 297 | 28 | 68 | 7 | 2 | .257 | .330 | .408 | .738 |
| 11 Seasons | 4662 | 621 | 1042 | 142 | 56 | .261 | .362 | .436 | .798 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
89
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.330 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.372 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.355 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.326
0.339
0.355
0.370
0.384
wOBA
0.314
0.331
0.349
0.367
0.384
ISO
0.131
0.147
0.166
0.184
0.200
K%
19.2%
20.4%
21.9%
23.3%
24.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.7%
80
Exit velocity92.2
93
Hard-hit%52.4%
94
xBA0.371
88
xSLG0.656
86
xwOBA0.372
92
+20 vs proj
BB%8.7%
50
Bat speed70.6
65
K%21.3%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.8 · RF
26
Arm Strength91.8 · RF
45
Outs Above Avg0.0 · RF
43
Range Runs0.4 · RF
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.7 · RF
22
Bolts2.0 · RF
38
Sprint Speed28.1 · RF
72
SB Success Rate50.0% · RF
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.5% · rebadged research
60
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions68.8% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline102
57
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.294 · borderline
30
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.293 · insufficient sample
17
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.262 · validated thin sample
87
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.330 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.361 · validated
17
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.368 · validated
28
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.036 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.013 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Nimmo’s wOBA sits at 0.349, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.372 — a gap of 0.023, 0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 310 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-05-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.336 xwOBA | 22 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 |
| 2026-04-17 @ SEA1 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | HR, BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, R |
| 2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 4 K |