Mithrandir Metrics
Player Cincinnati Reds Refreshed Jun 2 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Cincinnati Reds

Jj Bleday

LF profile with live context, projection links, and Mithrandir card history when available.

Cards
1
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Cincinnati Reds Position LF Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-06-02
xwOBA preseason0.307
xwOBA current pace0.409
xwOBA rolling p500.346
Observed weight39%
xwOBA
0.313 0.329 0.346 0.364 0.379
wOBA
0.443 0.469 0.497 0.526 0.551
ISO
0.197 0.222 0.249 0.276 0.301
K%
17.8% 19.4% 21.1% 22.8% 24.3%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-06-02
Hitting · percentile strip
BB%13.6%
90 +22 vs proj
Barrel%10.7%
95 +46 vs proj
Bat speed71.3
74
Exit velocity91.7
89
Hard-hit%52.1%
94 +54 vs proj
K%18.6%
70 +35 vs proj
xBA0.368
85
xSLG0.711
92
xwOBA0.409
98 +61 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.3 · LF
43
Arm Strength98.5 · LF
92
Outs Above Avg-1.0 · LF
20
Range Runs-1.2 · LF
35
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.6 · LF
63
Sprint Speed27.3 · LF
50
Mithrandir+

Stuff+ and arsenal context

Stuff+ appears when the current pitch-event scoring artifact includes this pitcher; missing coverage is shown explicitly.

2026-06-02
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.7% · rebadged research
82
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.4% · rebadged research
86
Correct Decisions71.7% · rebadged research
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.337 · borderline
1
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.300 · insufficient sample
7
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.266 · validated thin sample
79
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.340 · insufficient sample
31
Resists FastballwOBA 0.366 · validated
12
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
91
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Bleday, Jj · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.313 2026-05-19: 0.4412026-05-21: 0.4362026-05-23: 0.4292026-05-24: 0.4082026-05-25: 0.4082026-05-26: 0.4152026-05-28: 0.4032026-05-29: 0.4032026-05-30: 0.4032026-05-31: 0.4142026-06-01: 0.4152026-06-02: 0.409 2026-05-19 2026-06-02 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Bleday, Jj · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 27%27%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 73%73%Hard hit: 52%52% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age28
Height6' 2"
Weight205 lb
Debut2022-07-23
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.112
wOBA Δ+0.201

negative regression

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting12026-05-10Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 17 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E2-5 | K, 2 R