Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 34 |
| Height | 6' 7" |
| Weight | 282 lb |
| Debut | 2016-08-13 |
Player profile / New York Yankees
Aaron Judge
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 7", 282 lb · Age 34
Club New York Yankees
Position RF
Roster profile
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 704 | 122 | 180 | 58 | 10 | .322 | .458 | .701 | 1.159 |
| 2025 | 679 | 137 | 179 | 53 | 12 | .331 | .457 | .688 | 1.145 |
| 2026 | 261 | 43 | 53 | 17 | 5 | .248 | .375 | .533 | .908 |
| 11 Seasons | 5263 | 916 | 1258 | 385 | 70 | .291 | .411 | .611 | 1.022 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
99
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.435 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.415 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.424 |
| Observed weight | 55% |
xwOBA
0.392
0.407
0.424
0.441
0.455
wOBA
0.383
0.401
0.421
0.441
0.460
ISO
0.249
0.269
0.291
0.313
0.333
K%
24.2%
25.6%
27.1%
28.6%
30.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%11.9%
99
Exit velocity94.4
99
Hard-hit%58.2%
99
xBA0.407
97
xSLG0.904
100
xwOBA0.415
99
BB%15.9%
98
Bat speed74.1
95
K%28.5%
20
-16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.7 · RF
74
Arm Strength95.4 · RF
69
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · RF
11
Range Runs-1.7 · RF
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · RF
34
Bolts1.0 · RF
15
SB Success Rate57.1% · RF
7
Sprint Speed26.7 · RF
32
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 71.1% · rebadged research
79
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.6% · rebadged research
80
Correct Decisions69.5% · rebadged research
82
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.297 · borderline
29
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
3
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.281 · validated thin sample
45
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.365 · insufficient sample
6
Resists FastballwOBA 0.364 · validated
13
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.420 · validated
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
139 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.053 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.047 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Judge’s wOBA sits at 0.421, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.415 — a gap of 0.006, -0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 270 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L | 0.67 | Fly-ball rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Kurtz, Nick ATH · L | 0.66 | Sprint speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Bauers, Jake MIL · L | 0.63 | Fly-ball rateBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Wood, James WSH · L | 0.53 | Barrel rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 16 | 2026-05-26 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.468 xwOBA | 46 HR | Projection |