Mithrandir Metrics
Player Pittsburgh Pirates Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Pittsburgh Pirates

Marcell Ozuna

DH · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 251 lb · Age 35

Cards
2
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Pittsburgh Pirates Position DH Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202468896183391.302.378.546.924
202559261113210.232.355.400.755
2026250194680.205.288.335.623
14 Seasons6965842167330429.267.335.465.800
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
64
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
59
Speed1 metrics
7
Plate skills10 metrics
72
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-17
xwOBA preseason0.362
xwOBA current pace0.313
xwOBA rolling p500.335
Observed weight55%
xwOBA
0.304 0.319 0.335 0.351 0.366
wOBA
0.270 0.287 0.306 0.325 0.342
ISO
0.127 0.143 0.160 0.178 0.194
K%
25.5% 26.8% 28.3% 29.8% 31.2%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-17
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%4.8%
46 -37 vs proj
Exit velocity89.7
70
Hard-hit%39.9%
53 -33 vs proj
xBA0.347
76
xSLG0.628
83
xwOBA0.313
57 -37 vs proj
BB%8.9%
53 -24 vs proj
Bat speed72.0
79
K%30.1%
15 -19 vs proj
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.2 · DH
7
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-17
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
75
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
48
Correct Decisions67.3% · rebadged research
62
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
72
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.271 · borderline
83
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.263 · insufficient sample
91
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.270 · validated thin sample
81
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
70
Resists FastballwOBA 0.336 · validated
56
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.348 · validated
79
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Ozuna, Marcell · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.313 2026-07-06: 0.3112026-07-07: 0.3112026-07-08: 0.3112026-07-09: 0.3112026-07-10: 0.3122026-07-11: 0.3122026-07-12: 0.3122026-07-13: 0.3092026-07-14: 0.3132026-07-15: 0.3132026-07-16: 0.3132026-07-17: 0.313 2026-07-06 2026-07-17 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

139 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Ozuna, Marcell · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsPull 13%Center field third: 71% of plotted batted ballsCenter 71%Right field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsOppo 17% LF 325 CF 399 RF 320 2026-03-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 99.1 / LA 18.02026-03-16 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 23.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 30.02026-03-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA -57.02026-03-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 83.0 / LA 18.02026-03-17 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 87.0 / LA -6.02026-03-18 · single · FS · line_drive · EV 97.3 / LA 13.02026-03-18 · force out · SI · ground_ball · EV 84.7 / LA -8.02026-03-20 · force out · ST · ground_ball · EV 68.5 / LA -3.02026-03-21 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.1 / LA -20.02026-03-21 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.5 / LA -7.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 16.02026-03-21 · field out · FF · popup · EV 91.3 / LA 74.02026-03-23 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 11.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 71.0 / LA 61.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 17.02026-03-26 · field out · FC · popup · EV 89.9 / LA 62.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · popup · EV 76.3 / LA 74.02026-03-28 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 2.02026-03-28 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 36.02026-03-28 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 81.6 / LA 19.02026-03-28 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 86.9 / LA 29.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 36.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 66.9 / LA -4.02026-03-31 · field out · SI · ground_ball2026-03-31 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.1 / LA 55.02026-03-31 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 98.4 / LA 52.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.7 / LA 30.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 102.4 / LA 22.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 99.9 / LA -8.02026-04-03 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.1 / LA 73.02026-04-04 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 98.0 / LA -9.02026-04-04 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.6 / LA -44.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.1 / LA 33.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 86.5 / LA 72.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 1.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 44.3 / LA 30.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 47.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.3 / LA 16.02026-04-11 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 42.02026-04-11 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA -17.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 21.02026-04-12 · field out · ST · popup · EV 72.4 / LA 79.02026-04-12 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 88.4 / LA 18.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -2.02026-04-14 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 83.4 / LA 24.02026-04-14 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.2 / LA 14.02026-04-14 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -2.02026-04-14 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 21.02026-04-15 · field out · ST · popup · EV 72.8 / LA 71.02026-04-15 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 16.02026-04-15 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 20.02026-04-16 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 105.0 / LA 19.02026-04-16 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 109.6 / LA 32.02026-04-16 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 73.1 / LA -2.02026-04-17 · single · SI · fly_ball · EV 71.8 / LA 26.02026-04-17 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 101.0 / LA 16.02026-04-17 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 79.9 / LA 23.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · popup · EV 50.6 / LA 56.02026-04-18 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 103.9 / LA 24.02026-04-18 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.9 / LA -4.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -19.02026-04-18 · field out · SI · popup · EV 75.8 / LA 56.02026-04-19 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 111.2 / LA 23.02026-04-19 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 9.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.3 / LA -41.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · popup · EV 89.3 / LA 62.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.9 / LA 32.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.8 / LA 48.02026-04-22 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 89.1 / LA 14.02026-04-23 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.9 / LA 28.02026-04-24 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.0 / LA 37.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.0 / LA 39.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 10.02026-04-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 93.7 / LA 76.02026-04-26 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 107.3 / LA 0.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 8.02026-04-27 · field out · ST · popup · EV 79.1 / LA 57.02026-04-27 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.2 / LA -15.02026-04-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -15.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 55.8 / LA -4.02026-04-29 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA 10.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA 2.02026-04-29 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 39.02026-05-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.5 / LA 26.02026-05-01 · field out · FF · popup · EV 93.0 / LA 59.02026-05-01 · force out · SI · ground_ball2026-05-02 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 11.02026-05-02 · single · SL · ground_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 10.02026-05-02 · single · EP · fly_ball · EV 88.8 / LA 33.02026-05-03 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 75.0 / LA 12.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 4.02026-05-03 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 36.02026-05-05 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 39.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.9 / LA 48.02026-05-06 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.7 / LA 48.02026-05-06 · field out · SV · popup · EV 79.7 / LA 66.02026-05-06 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 14.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 46.02026-05-08 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 76.4 / LA 17.02026-05-08 · home run · SL · fly_ball · EV 104.7 / LA 26.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.7 / LA 49.02026-05-09 · field out · EP · line_drive · EV 91.2 / LA 5.02026-05-09 · double · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.2 / LA 28.02026-05-09 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.5 / LA 31.02026-05-10 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.5 / LA 57.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA 5.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 86.0 / LA 13.02026-05-12 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 97.3 / LA 31.02026-05-13 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 96.1 / LA 18.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 98.1 / LA 18.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 85.9 / LA 70.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 75.0 / LA 37.02026-05-15 · double play · SI · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 21.02026-05-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 109.5 / LA 24.02026-05-19 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 71.5 / LA -19.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.3 / LA -28.02026-05-21 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 10.02026-05-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 4.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 1.02026-05-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA -16.02026-05-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 104.5 / LA 16.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.5 / LA 2.02026-05-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -20.02026-05-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 99.0 / LA 14.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 75.6 / LA 49.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 106.6 / LA 18.02026-05-27 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 84.9 / LA 20.02026-05-27 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 52.02026-06-05 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 78.6 / LA 18.02026-06-05 · field out · SL · ground_ball2026-06-05 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 80.2 / LA 27.02026-06-05 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -8.02026-06-07 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.7 / LA -32.02026-06-26 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 4.02026-06-26 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 28.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.6 / LA -14.02026-06-30 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 92.6 / LA 22.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Ozuna, Marcell · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 26%26%Whiff: 29%29%Zone contact: 82%82%Contact: 71%71%Hard hit: 40%40% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Ozuna, Marcell · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 73.8 mph Hard swing rate 33% Whiff / swing 28% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age35
Height6' 1"
Weight251 lb
Debut2013-04-30
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ-0.057
wOBA Δ-0.064

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.306
xwOBA (deserved)0.313

Ozuna’s wOBA sits at 0.306, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.313 — a gap of 0.007, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 269 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Stephenson, Tyler CIN · R 0.67 Sweet-spot rateSwing length Player · Projection
García, Adolis PHI · R 0.66 Pull rateIn-zone contact Player · Projection
Baty, Brett NYM · L 0.64 Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate Player · Projection
Suárez, Eugenio CIN · R 0.59 Fly-ball rateMax exit velocity Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting22026-06-26Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.370 xwOBA | 27 HRProjection
2026-04-17 vs TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E3-4 | R
2026-04-15 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, RBI
2026-04-14 vs WSH0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, RBI
2026-04-12 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E1-4 | K, R
2026-04-11 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, K, R