Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 5' 10" |
| Weight | 185 lb |
| Debut | 2019-08-14 |
Player profile / Seattle Mariners
Randy Arozarena
LF · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 10", 185 lb · Age 31
Club Seattle Mariners
Position LF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 648 | 77 | 120 | 20 | 20 | .219 | .332 | .388 | .720 |
| 2025 | 709 | 95 | 146 | 27 | 31 | .238 | .334 | .426 | .760 |
| 2026 | 379 | 59 | 93 | 11 | 19 | .286 | .380 | .458 | .838 |
| 8 Seasons | 3738 | 511 | 822 | 129 | 150 | .254 | .347 | .436 | .783 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.317 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.354 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.341 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.316
0.328
0.341
0.355
0.367
wOBA
0.374
0.389
0.406
0.422
0.437
ISO
0.148
0.161
0.176
0.192
0.205
K%
20.9%
22.1%
23.4%
24.7%
25.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
55
-24 vs proj
Exit velocity91.0
86
Hard-hit%42.2%
65
-22 vs proj
xBA0.357
83
xSLG0.575
71
xwOBA0.354
86
BB%9.9%
67
Bat speed68.8
37
K%21.8%
53
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.9 · LF
8
Arm Strength90.7 · LF
28
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
6
Range Runs-2.6 · LF
21
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.8 · LF
94
SB Success Rate89.5% · LF
77
Sprint Speed26.9 · LF
37
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 64.4% · rebadged research
44
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.4% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions64.7% · rebadged research
34
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
43
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.308 · borderline
15
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.325 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists FastballwOBA 0.340 · validated
46
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.373 · validated
19
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
182 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.019 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.070 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Arozarena’s wOBA sits at 0.406, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.354 — a gap of 0.051, -1.9 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 403 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander, Blaze BAL · R | 0.68 | Max exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.64 | Sprint speedBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Stewart, Sal CIN · R | 0.64 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Cortes, Carlos ATH · L | 0.62 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-05-25 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 24 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CWS1 HR | 2 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-2 | HR, BB, HBP |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATH0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs TEX0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, BB, 3 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | K, R |