Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 34 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 240 lb |
| Debut | 2016-06-17 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Willson Contreras
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 240 lb · Age 34
Club Boston Red Sox
Position 1B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 358 | 48 | 79 | 15 | 4 | .262 | .380 | .468 | .848 |
| 2025 | 563 | 70 | 126 | 20 | 5 | .257 | .344 | .447 | .791 |
| 2026 | 533 | 68 | 123 | 27 | 3 | .276 | .387 | .518 | .905 |
| 11 Seasons | 4808 | 594 | 1077 | 199 | 40 | .260 | .356 | .466 | .822 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
87
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.356 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.377 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.371 |
| Observed weight | 71% |
xwOBA
0.349
0.359
0.371
0.382
0.393
wOBA
0.387
0.400
0.414
0.428
0.441
ISO
0.195
0.207
0.220
0.233
0.245
K%
22.5%
23.5%
24.6%
25.7%
26.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.8%
86
Exit velocity89.5
71
Hard-hit%44.3%
78
xBA0.367
93
xSLG0.696
95
xwOBA0.377
97
BB%10.9%
79
+23 vs proj
Bat speed74.6
97
K%24.9%
38
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg1.0 · 1B
73
Range Runs0.6 · 1B
60
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-3.3 · 1B
5
SB Success Rate50.0% · 1B
4
Sprint Speed27.3 · 1B
47
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 63.8% · rebadged research
42
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.5% · rebadged research
68
Correct Decisions65.4% · rebadged research
43
Resists FastballwOBA 0.354 · validated
24
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline101
50
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.304 · borderline
23
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.280 · insufficient sample
46
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.326 · validated thin sample
2
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.313 · insufficient sample
80
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.413 · validated
1
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
220 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.018 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.055 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Contreras’s wOBA sits at 0.414, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.377 — a gap of 0.037, -1.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 550 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mayo, Coby BAL · R | 0.74 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Canzone, Dominic SEA · L | 0.71 | Hard-hit rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Goodman, Hunter COL · R | 0.68 | Sprint speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Okamoto, Kazuma TOR · R | 0.68 | Hard-hit ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-08-21 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 19 | 2026-09-13 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.140 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.359 xwOBA | 20 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | 3B, R |
| 2026-04-20 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | K |
| 2026-04-17 vs DET0 HR | 0 RBI / 14 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | HBP, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ MIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | HBP, K |