Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 220 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-08 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Spencer Torkelson
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 220 lb · Age 26
Club Detroit Tigers
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 381 | 45 | 75 | 10 | 0 | .219 | .295 | .374 | .669 |
| 2025 | 649 | 82 | 135 | 31 | 2 | .240 | .333 | .456 | .789 |
| 2026 | 371 | 38 | 67 | 16 | 0 | .208 | .305 | .413 | .718 |
| 5 Seasons | 2489 | 291 | 491 | 96 | 5 | .224 | .310 | .412 | .722 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
77
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.326 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.319 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.322 |
| Observed weight | 64% |
xwOBA
0.299
0.310
0.322
0.334
0.345
wOBA
0.304
0.319
0.335
0.351
0.366
ISO
0.184
0.197
0.212
0.226
0.239
K%
26.4%
27.6%
29.0%
30.4%
31.7%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.7%
89
Exit velocity89.7
69
Hard-hit%44.3%
73
xBA0.349
77
xSLG0.663
89
xwOBA0.319
64
BB%10.4%
72
Bat speed71.4
74
K%31.3%
11
-29 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg-10.0 · 1B
1
Range Runs-7.3 · 1B
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.9 · 1B
19
Sprint Speed26.5 · 1B
27
SB Success Rate0.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.5% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.2% · rebadged research
69
Correct Decisions72.5% · rebadged research
93
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline112
94
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.250 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.267 · validated thin sample
85
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.308 · insufficient sample
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.369 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.393 · validated
5
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.012 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.004 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Torkelson’s wOBA sits at 0.335, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.319 — a gap of 0.016, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 393 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing, Dalton LAD · L | 0.60 | Pull rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Greene, Riley DET · L | 0.53 | In-zone contactSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.53 | Whiff ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Bleday, JJ CIN · L | 0.52 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-05-27 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.331 xwOBA | 23 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | K |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-14 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 | 2 BB, K |