Mithrandir Metrics
Player Los Angeles Dodgers Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / Los Angeles Dodgers

Freddie Freeman

1B · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 4", 220 lb · Age 36

Cards
13
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club Los Angeles Dodgers Position 1B Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
202463881153229.282.378.476.854
202562781164246.295.367.502.869
202640852103153.290.375.487.862
17 Seasons977114312534382107.299.386.510.896
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
84
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
79
Defense2 metrics
73
Speed2 metrics
15
Plate skills10 metrics
55
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16
xwOBA preseason0.357
xwOBA current pace0.383
xwOBA rolling p500.374
Observed weight66%
xwOBA
0.349 0.361 0.374 0.388 0.400
wOBA
0.365 0.379 0.395 0.411 0.425
ISO
0.163 0.176 0.190 0.205 0.218
K%
14.8% 15.8% 16.9% 18.0% 19.0%
Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.5%
82
Exit velocity90.6
81
Hard-hit%45.5%
77
xBA0.359
83
xSLG0.617
81
xwOBA0.383
97
BB%11.7%
82 +20 vs proj
Bat speed69.1
41
K%15.9%
84
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs1.8 · 1B
69
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.8 · 1B
22
Sprint Speed25.2 · 1B
7
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.3% · rebadged research
74
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 18.1% · rebadged research
93
Correct Decisions72.9% · rebadged research
94
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111
92
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
62
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.301 · insufficient sample
9
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.257 · validated thin sample
95
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.404 · insufficient sample
0
Resists FastballwOBA 0.377 · validated
6
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.367 · validated
27
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Freeman, Freddie · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.383 2026-07-05: 0.3892026-07-06: 0.3912026-07-07: 0.3902026-07-08: 0.3862026-07-09: 0.3832026-07-10: 0.3862026-07-11: 0.3862026-07-12: 0.3852026-07-13: 0.3852026-07-14: 0.3832026-07-15: 0.3832026-07-16: 0.383 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

211 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Freeman, Freddie · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 17% of plotted batted ballsPull 17%Center field third: 70% of plotted batted ballsCenter 70%Right field third: 13% of plotted batted ballsOppo 13% LF 330 CF 400 RF 330 2026-03-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 106.6 / LA -9.02026-03-15 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 74.9 / LA 1.02026-03-16 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.1 / LA -21.02026-03-16 · single · SV · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA 0.02026-03-18 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 104.0 / LA 31.02026-03-18 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 76.5 / LA -19.02026-03-18 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 3.02026-03-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -17.02026-03-20 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 88.1 / LA 11.02026-03-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 16.02026-03-22 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 16.02026-03-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 62.8 / LA 3.02026-03-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 31.02026-03-24 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.5 / LA -5.02026-03-24 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 95.4 / LA 43.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 5.02026-03-26 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.3 / LA 31.02026-03-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA 3.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 95.6 / LA -6.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 30.02026-03-27 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 102.1 / LA 39.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.2 / LA 32.02026-03-28 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 11.02026-03-28 · double · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.3 / LA 4.02026-03-28 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 97.7 / LA 30.02026-03-28 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA 16.02026-03-30 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.9 / LA -30.02026-03-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 72.2 / LA -10.02026-03-30 · field out · ST · popup · EV 87.6 / LA 73.02026-03-30 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.7 / LA -26.02026-03-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 10.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 92.5 / LA 52.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 30.02026-04-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 90.2 / LA 5.02026-04-01 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 89.6 / LA -15.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 81.1 / LA -5.02026-04-01 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 104.4 / LA 28.02026-04-03 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.7 / LA 2.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 55.6 / LA -29.02026-04-03 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 110.0 / LA 41.02026-04-03 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 54.02026-04-04 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 22.02026-04-04 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 98.0 / LA 30.02026-04-04 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 86.1 / LA 37.02026-04-04 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 29.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · fly_ball · EV 77.1 / LA 48.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 97.2 / LA -20.02026-04-05 · single · SV · line_drive · EV 96.6 / LA 13.02026-04-05 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 90.3 / LA 20.02026-04-05 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.1 / LA 8.02026-04-06 · home run · SI · fly_ball · EV 108.5 / LA 35.02026-04-06 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.3 / LA 18.02026-04-06 · double · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 28.02026-04-07 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 85.1 / LA 48.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 82.5 / LA 30.02026-04-07 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 108.3 / LA -1.02026-04-07 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 107.9 / LA 4.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 54.1 / LA 8.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 105.9 / LA 3.02026-04-08 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 83.2 / LA 11.02026-04-08 · double play · SL · line_drive · EV 90.0 / LA 12.02026-04-10 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 88.5 / LA 56.02026-04-10 · grounded into double play · FF · ground_ball · EV 91.3 / LA -14.02026-04-11 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 110.3 / LA 14.02026-04-11 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.0 / LA -16.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 6.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 102.8 / LA 18.02026-04-12 · single · CU · popup · EV 90.6 / LA 69.02026-04-12 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.5 / LA 39.02026-04-13 · force out · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA -7.02026-04-13 · double · SL · line_drive · EV 102.3 / LA 14.02026-04-13 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 100.7 / LA 13.02026-04-14 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 101.8 / LA 21.02026-04-14 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 71.2 / LA -48.02026-04-15 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 108.0 / LA 15.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.1 / LA 42.02026-04-15 · double · ST · line_drive · EV 103.7 / LA 11.02026-04-15 · single · CH · ground_ball · EV 105.5 / LA 8.02026-04-17 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 103.9 / LA 22.02026-04-17 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 61.4 / LA -22.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.7 / LA 27.02026-04-17 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 7.02026-04-18 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 80.4 / LA 18.02026-04-18 · triple · SL · fly_ball · EV 102.5 / LA 27.02026-04-18 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 101.2 / LA 30.02026-04-21 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -21.02026-04-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 82.6 / LA -11.02026-04-22 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 95.6 / LA 47.02026-04-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 83.8 / LA -15.02026-04-22 · single · FC · fly_ball · EV 78.3 / LA 39.02026-04-22 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -7.02026-04-23 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 84.8 / LA -39.02026-04-23 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.1 / LA -14.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 26.02026-04-23 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -11.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 101.3 / LA 21.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 91.0 / LA 41.02026-04-24 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 97.8 / LA -5.02026-04-24 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 77.9 / LA -69.02026-04-25 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 107.2 / LA 8.02026-04-25 · field out · KC · fly_ball · EV 92.1 / LA 46.02026-04-25 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 75.1 / LA -59.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 85.3 / LA -9.02026-04-26 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 79.0 / LA 32.02026-04-27 · single · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.7 / LA 36.02026-04-27 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 100.0 / LA -27.02026-04-27 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.3 / LA 21.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.5 / LA -9.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 68.7 / LA -31.02026-04-28 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.1 / LA -18.02026-04-28 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 12.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 86.0 / LA -38.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 88.9 / LA 38.02026-04-29 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 99.5 / LA 17.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 99.7 / LA 4.02026-04-29 · grounded into double play · ST · ground_ball · EV 82.2 / LA -28.02026-05-01 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.2 / LA 11.02026-05-01 · field out · FC · popup · EV 77.9 / LA 59.02026-05-01 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 86.5 / LA 41.02026-05-01 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 109.2 / LA 13.02026-05-02 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 95.5 / LA 17.02026-05-02 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA 8.02026-05-02 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -24.02026-05-03 · grounded into double play · FC · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -5.02026-05-03 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 106.7 / LA 9.02026-05-03 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.2 / LA 34.02026-05-04 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 102.5 / LA 9.02026-05-04 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 17.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.8 / LA -2.02026-05-05 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 22.02026-05-05 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 29.02026-05-06 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA -50.02026-05-06 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 88.2 / LA 20.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 86.5 / LA -19.02026-05-08 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 107.2 / LA 24.02026-05-08 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 99.3 / LA 41.02026-05-08 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 55.3 / LA -46.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 92.2 / LA 54.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.1 / LA -72.02026-05-09 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.9 / LA 51.02026-05-10 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.0 / LA 28.02026-05-10 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.0 / LA -16.02026-05-10 · field out · SL · popup · EV 93.8 / LA 77.02026-05-11 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 100.0 / LA 15.02026-05-11 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.4 / LA 7.02026-05-11 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 77.1 / LA -10.02026-05-12 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA -17.02026-05-12 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.0 / LA 19.02026-05-13 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 104.9 / LA 11.02026-05-13 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 85.6 / LA 1.02026-05-13 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 90.4 / LA -26.02026-05-14 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 101.9 / LA 12.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 102.8 / LA -4.02026-05-14 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 98.8 / LA -11.02026-05-16 · field out · KC · line_drive · EV 87.4 / LA 13.02026-05-16 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 2.02026-05-16 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 94.3 / LA 44.02026-05-17 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA -3.02026-05-17 · field out · FC · popup · EV 50.9 / LA 42.02026-05-19 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 28.02026-05-19 · home run · FS · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 33.02026-05-20 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 106.5 / LA 11.02026-05-20 · double · SL · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 0.02026-05-20 · double · FC · fly_ball · EV 82.0 / LA 51.02026-05-20 · force out · CU · ground_ball · EV 87.8 / LA 2.02026-05-23 · double · SI · line_drive · EV 85.4 / LA 7.02026-05-25 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 72.9 / LA -5.02026-05-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 35.02026-05-25 · double · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.7 / LA 28.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.8 / LA 0.02026-05-26 · single · FC · line_drive · EV 70.2 / LA 20.02026-05-26 · sac fly · KC · fly_ball · EV 100.4 / LA 23.02026-05-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA 0.02026-05-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 83.2 / LA -36.02026-05-27 · home run · CU · fly_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 28.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 94.9 / LA 11.02026-05-31 · sac fly · FF · line_drive · EV 95.2 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · sac fly · FC · line_drive · EV 94.5 / LA 21.02026-05-31 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 92.0 / LA 3.02026-06-01 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 68.3 / LA -11.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 94.8 / LA 56.02026-06-01 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 64.5 / LA 3.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.4 / LA 8.02026-06-04 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 70.9 / LA -16.02026-06-04 · field out · CU · popup · EV 71.4 / LA 68.02026-06-04 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.0 / LA -23.02026-06-04 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 104.4 / LA 17.02026-06-05 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 105.8 / LA 38.02026-06-05 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 101.7 / LA 13.02026-06-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 86.0 / LA 50.02026-06-07 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 89.4 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · single · KC · ground_ball · EV 98.2 / LA 1.02026-06-07 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 84.3 / LA 2.02026-06-15 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 85.1 / LA 22.02026-06-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 94.4 / LA 2.02026-06-15 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 22.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 101.4 / LA 42.02026-06-20 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.8 / LA 5.02026-06-22 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 104.2 / LA 32.02026-06-22 · field out · CU · fly_ball · EV 83.3 / LA 46.02026-06-24 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 99.3 / LA 13.02026-06-24 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 7.02026-06-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 103.9 / LA -5.02026-06-26 · double · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.9 / LA 33.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 107.0 / LA 18.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 97.6 / LA 28.02026-06-30 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 76.5 / LA 17.02026-06-30 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 80.3 / LA 19.02026-07-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 96.9 / LA -14.02026-07-01 · home run · FC · fly_ball · EV 105.2 / LA 32.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Freeman, Freddie · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 47%47%Chase: 28%28%Whiff: 19%19%Zone contact: 86%86%Contact: 81%81%Hard hit: 45%45% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Freeman, Freddie · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 71.2 mph Hard swing rate 12% Whiff / swing 14% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

Age36
Height6' 4"
Weight220 lb
Debut2010-09-01
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ+0.022
wOBA Δ+0.033

negative regression

Regression watch

Running hot. Expect some cooling.

-0.4σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.395
xwOBA (deserved)0.383

Freeman’s wOBA sits at 0.395, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.383 — a gap of 0.011, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 429 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Aranda, Jonathan TB · L 0.81 Hard-hit rateChase rate Player · Projection
Rutschman, Adley BAL · L 0.75 Max exit velocityBat speed Player · Projection
Cortes, Carlos ATH · L 0.73 Max exit velocityWhiff rate Player · Projection
Karros, Kyle COL · R 0.72 Walk rateHard-hit rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting132026-07-04Disciplined swing decisions drove the score
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.362 xwOBA | 23 HRProjection
2026-05-20 @ SD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E2-5 | 2 2B, K
2026-04-17 @ COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, BB, R
2026-04-15 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, BB
2026-04-14 vs NYM0 HR | 1 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E0-4 | 2 K, RBI
2026-04-13 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 13 Ch | 0 E2-4 | 2B, K, R