Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 29 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 200 lb |
| Debut | 2019-09-09 |
Player profile / Chicago Cubs
Nico Hoerner
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 5' 11", 200 lb · Age 29
Club Chicago Cubs
Position 2B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 641 | 86 | 159 | 7 | 31 | .273 | .335 | .373 | .708 |
| 2025 | 649 | 89 | 178 | 7 | 29 | .297 | .345 | .394 | .739 |
| 2026 | 317 | 26 | 67 | 4 | 12 | .240 | .319 | .337 | .656 |
| 8 Seasons | 3190 | 404 | 805 | 40 | 143 | .278 | .338 | .379 | .717 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
29
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.315 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.332 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.325 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.301
0.313
0.325
0.338
0.349
wOBA
0.309
0.325
0.342
0.360
0.375
ISO
0.087
0.098
0.111
0.125
0.136
K%
6.4%
7.3%
8.2%
9.2%
10.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.5%
8
Exit velocity85.9
24
Hard-hit%28.7%
12
xBA0.319
46
xSLG0.406
16
xwOBA0.332
70
BB%9.6%
61
+42 vs proj
Bat speed66.9
20
K%6.9%
100
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.1 · 2B
57
Arm Strength84.0 · 2B
35
Outs Above Avg7.0 · 2B
98
Range Runs4.7 · 2B
95
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs2.4 · 2B
92
SB Success Rate100.0% · 2B
95
Sprint Speed28.3 · 2B
78
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.8% · rebadged research
62
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 29.5% · rebadged research
15
Correct Decisions63.9% · rebadged research
29
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline99
40
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.336 · borderline
2
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.273 · insufficient sample
69
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.230 · validated thin sample
99
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.333 · insufficient sample
48
Resists FastballwOBA 0.315 · validated
89
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.381 · validated
11
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
229 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.026 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Hoerner’s wOBA sits at 0.342, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.332 — a gap of 0.010, -0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 334 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-04-15 | On-base pressure held the card together |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.316 xwOBA | 9 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B |
| 2026-04-20 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs NYM1 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-15 @ PHI1 HR | 5 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 3-5 | HR, 5 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-14 @ PHI0 HR | 3 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 2-6 | K, 3 RBI, R |