Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 33 |
| Height | 5' 11" |
| Weight | 229 lb |
| Debut | 2015-06-16 |
Player profile / Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber
DH · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 11", 229 lb · Age 33
Club Philadelphia Phillies
Position DH
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 692 | 110 | 142 | 38 | 5 | .248 | .366 | .485 | .851 |
| 2025 | 724 | 111 | 145 | 56 | 10 | .240 | .365 | .563 | .928 |
| 2026 | 417 | 57 | 90 | 32 | 2 | .255 | .367 | .561 | .928 |
| 12 Seasons | 5801 | 857 | 1140 | 372 | 39 | .233 | .348 | .505 | .853 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
97
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.367 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.378 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.374 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.346
0.359
0.374
0.389
0.402
wOBA
0.379
0.394
0.410
0.426
0.441
ISO
0.254
0.269
0.286
0.303
0.319
K%
30.2%
31.5%
32.8%
34.2%
35.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.9%
96
Exit velocity93.4
96
Hard-hit%53.5%
96
xBA0.419
98
xSLG0.890
99
xwOBA0.378
96
BB%13.9%
93
Bat speed74.2
95
K%34.6%
4
-16 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.2 · LF
Small sample
Outs Above Avg-0.3 · LF
31
Regression applied
Range Runs-0.9 · LF
Small sample
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed25.8 · DH
14
SB Success Rate100.0% · DH
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
76
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.8% · rebadged research
72
Correct Decisions69.3% · rebadged research
81
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
83
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.288 · borderline
46
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
29
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.309 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.374 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370 · validated
10
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.436 · validated
0
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
158 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.030 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Schwarber’s wOBA sits at 0.410, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.378 — a gap of 0.032, -1.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 425 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ohtani, Shohei LAD · L | 0.43 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Judge, Aaron NYY · R | 0.42 | Bat speedChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Montgomery, Colson CWS · L | 0.41 | Bat speedIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Goodman, Hunter COL · R | 0.38 | Barrel rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-05-25 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.380 xwOBA | 41 HR | Projection |
| 2026-04-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | HBP, 2 K |
| 2026-04-15 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | 3 K |
| 2026-04-14 vs CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 K |
| 2026-04-13 vs CHC2 HR | 3 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 2-3 | 2 HR, BB, HBP |