Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 31 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 245 lb |
| Debut | 2019-03-28 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Pete Alonso
1B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 245 lb · Age 31
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position 1B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 695 | 91 | 146 | 34 | 3 | .240 | .329 | .459 | .788 |
| 2025 | 709 | 87 | 170 | 38 | 1 | .272 | .347 | .524 | .871 |
| 2026 | 419 | 59 | 91 | 21 | 2 | .252 | .346 | .474 | .820 |
| 8 Seasons | 4735 | 639 | 1042 | 285 | 20 | .253 | .341 | .512 | .853 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.354 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.377 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.369 |
| Observed weight | 67% |
xwOBA
0.342
0.355
0.369
0.383
0.396
wOBA
0.343
0.356
0.372
0.388
0.401
ISO
0.187
0.201
0.218
0.234
0.248
K%
22.0%
23.2%
24.4%
25.7%
26.8%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
87
Exit velocity94.0
98
Hard-hit%55.6%
99
+15 vs proj
xBA0.380
92
xSLG0.721
95
xwOBA0.377
95
BB%11.8%
83
+25 vs proj
Bat speed73.1
90
K%24.7%
38
Defense · percentile strip
Outs Above Avg2.0 · 1B
77
Range Runs2.4 · 1B
76
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.3 · 1B
12
Sprint Speed25.2 · 1B
7
SB Success Rate100.0% · 1B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.7% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 23.8% · rebadged research
63
Correct Decisions68.7% · rebadged research
75
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
79
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.281 · borderline
69
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.271 · insufficient sample
76
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
15
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.324 · insufficient sample
71
Resists FastballwOBA 0.341 · validated
43
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.378 · validated
12
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
200 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.013 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.008 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Alonso’s wOBA sits at 0.372, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.377 — a gap of 0.005, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 442 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eldridge, Bryce SF · L | 0.81 | Strikeout rateChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Greene, Riley DET · L | 0.78 | In-zone contactBarrel rate | Player · Projection |
| Devers, Rafael SF · L | 0.70 | Whiff ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Pederson, Joc TEX · L | 0.69 | Walk rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 7 | 2026-07-04 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.364 xwOBA | 33 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB1 HR | 2 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 2 RBI, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-04-17 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HBP, R |
| 2026-04-15 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 16 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | 2 BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs AZ0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, K, R |