Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Debut | 2022-04-08 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Cj Abrams
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 6' 0", 191 lb · Age 25
Club Washington Nationals
Position SS
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 602 | 79 | 133 | 20 | 31 | .246 | .314 | .433 | .747 |
| 2025 | 635 | 92 | 149 | 19 | 31 | .257 | .315 | .433 | .748 |
| 2026 | 395 | 56 | 95 | 20 | 15 | .275 | .352 | .510 | .862 |
| 5 Seasons | 2548 | 343 | 585 | 79 | 131 | .253 | .313 | .426 | .739 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
70
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.322 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.340 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.334 |
| Observed weight | 65% |
xwOBA
0.312
0.322
0.334
0.346
0.357
wOBA
0.367
0.381
0.397
0.414
0.428
ISO
0.190
0.202
0.216
0.229
0.242
K%
18.6%
19.7%
21.0%
22.2%
23.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%6.3%
68
Exit velocity89.9
72
Hard-hit%42.1%
64
xBA0.339
67
xSLG0.587
73
xwOBA0.340
78
BB%8.4%
48
+25 vs proj
Bat speed70.7
67
K%21.2%
58
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Strength87.0 · SS
53
Outs Above Avg-11.0 · SS
1
Range Runs-8.4 · SS
2
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.3 · SS
78
Bolts8.0 · SS
64
SB Success Rate78.6% · SS
41
Sprint Speed28.4 · SS
79
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 62.0% · rebadged research
32
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.5% · rebadged research
46
Correct Decisions64.5% · rebadged research
32
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline97
32
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.318 · borderline
8
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.305 · insufficient sample
6
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.292 · validated thin sample
20
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.394 · insufficient sample
0
Resists FastballwOBA 0.409 · validated
1
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.351 · validated
73
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
205 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.072 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Abrams’s wOBA sits at 0.397, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.340 — a gap of 0.057, -2.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 415 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing, Dalton LAD · L | 0.73 | Bat speedIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Lewis, Royce MIN · R | 0.72 | Pull rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Adames, Willy SF · R | 0.72 | Bat speedPull rate | Player · Projection |
| Clemens, Kody MIN · L | 0.71 | Pull rateStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 1 | 2026-04-14 | Impact contact was the main driver |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.326 xwOBA | 18 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM1 HR | 3 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | HR, 3 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-20 vs ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 0-2 | BB, HBP, K |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 | 2B, BB, 2 HBP |
| 2026-04-14 @ PIT1 HR | 2 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 3-4 | HR, 2B, 2 RBI |