Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-21 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Adley Rutschman
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 1", 230 lb · Age 28
Club Boston Red Sox
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 638 | 68 | 143 | 19 | 1 | .250 | .318 | .391 | .709 |
| 2025 | 365 | 37 | 71 | 9 | 0 | .220 | .307 | .366 | .673 |
| 2026 | 407 | 43 | 87 | 12 | 0 | .240 | .312 | .417 | .729 |
| 5 Seasons | 2567 | 302 | 565 | 73 | 6 | .252 | .339 | .413 | .752 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
56
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.340 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.325 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.330 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.305
0.317
0.330
0.343
0.354
wOBA
0.310
0.324
0.340
0.355
0.369
ISO
0.141
0.153
0.166
0.180
0.191
K%
14.2%
15.2%
16.3%
17.4%
18.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
53
Exit velocity88.9
63
Hard-hit%39.4%
56
xBA0.312
42
xSLG0.503
52
xwOBA0.325
72
BB%9.2%
59
Bat speed69.0
41
K%16.4%
85
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs1.1 · C
85
Catcher Throwing3.8 · C
97
Framing Runs6.1 · C
95
Pop Time1.9 · C
57
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.1 · C
26
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
28
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.5% · rebadged research
77
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.5% · rebadged research
37
Correct Decisions66.2% · rebadged research
50
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
68
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.310 · borderline
17
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.286 · insufficient sample
30
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.280 · validated thin sample
46
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.366 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.370 · validated
11
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.336 · validated
87
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
217 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.015 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Rutschman’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.325 — a gap of 0.015, -0.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 422 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R | 0.73 | Hard-hit rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.72 | Swing lengthMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Keith, Colt DET · L | 0.72 | Ground-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Stott, Bryson PHI · L | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 3 | 2026-09-03 | On-base pressure held the card together |
| Fielding | 7 | 2026-09-24 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.218 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.340 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-08 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-06 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-04 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | R |