Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-21 |
Player profile / Baltimore Orioles
Adley Rutschman
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 1", 230 lb · Age 28
Club Baltimore Orioles
Position C
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 638 | 68 | 143 | 19 | 1 | .250 | .318 | .391 | .709 |
| 2025 | 365 | 37 | 71 | 9 | 0 | .220 | .307 | .366 | .673 |
| 2026 | 216 | 26 | 50 | 8 | 0 | .265 | .343 | .481 | .824 |
| 5 Seasons | 2376 | 285 | 528 | 69 | 6 | .255 | .343 | .418 | .761 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
77
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.335 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.374 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.354 |
| Observed weight | 51% |
xwOBA
0.325
0.339
0.354
0.370
0.384
wOBA
0.356
0.376
0.398
0.420
0.439
ISO
0.148
0.164
0.181
0.199
0.215
K%
12.2%
13.4%
14.7%
16.0%
17.2%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.0%
75
+24 vs proj
Exit velocity90.1
73
Hard-hit%48.0%
84
+41 vs proj
xBA0.345
72
xSLG0.571
67
xwOBA0.374
93
+21 vs proj
BB%10.6%
71
Bat speed69.5
48
K%13.2%
91
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.4 · C
75
Catcher Throwing2.0 · C
94
Framing Runs5.5 · C
98
Pop Time2.0 · C
45
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.2 · C
47
Sprint Speed26.6 · C
30
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.8% · rebadged research
71
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 27.2% · rebadged research
31
Correct Decisions66.1% · rebadged research
49
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.316 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.288 · insufficient sample
23
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
27
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.378 · insufficient sample
1
Resists FastballwOBA 0.355 · validated
24
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
74
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
58
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
146 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.039 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.063 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Rutschman’s wOBA sits at 0.398, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.374 — a gap of 0.024, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 227 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-18 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.335 xwOBA | 14 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-08 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-06 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-04 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | R |
| 2026-04-03 @ PIT0 HR | 1 RBI / 11 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | 2B, BB, RBI |