Mithrandir Metrics
Player MIA Refreshed Jul 16 06:00 AM ET
Player profile / MIA

Jakob Marsee

Player · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 0", 180 lb · Age 25

Cards
3
Modules
1
Live Δ
yes
Club MIA Position -- Roster Active Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line

Season by season

PARHHRSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
20252342861514.292.363.478.841
20263894764519.197.319.295.614
2 Seasons623751251033.234.336.367.703
At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
25
Offense
percentile
Offense9 metrics
35
Defense4 metrics
65
Speed3 metrics
45
Plate skills10 metrics
60
Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

Pending

Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%2.0%
13
Exit velocity85.1
18
Hard-hit%33.5%
26
xBA0.299
25
xSLG0.426
21
xwOBA0.303
45
BB%12.5%
87
Bat speed67.3
22
K%21.8%
54
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-1.5 · CF
13
Arm Strength95.0 · CF
65
Outs Above Avg5.0 · CF
96
Range Runs4.1 · CF
86
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs0.3 · CF
51
SB Success Rate64.7% · CF
18
Sprint Speed27.9 · CF
65
Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.9% · rebadged research
88
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.9% · rebadged research
34
Correct Decisions67.7% · rebadged research
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.295 · validated
99
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline106
76
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.275 · borderline
78
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.294 · insufficient sample
14
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.289 · validated thin sample
26
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.337 · insufficient sample
36
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.338 · validated
90
Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots
Mithrandir Metrics ROLLING XWOBA LINE Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Rolling xwOBA Marsee, Jakob · Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs LG AVG 0.308 0.303 2026-07-05: 0.2992026-07-06: 0.2992026-07-07: 0.3022026-07-08: 0.3022026-07-09: 0.3032026-07-10: 0.3032026-07-11: 0.3052026-07-12: 0.3052026-07-13: 0.3052026-07-14: 0.3032026-07-15: 0.3032026-07-16: 0.303 2026-07-05 2026-07-16 xwOBA MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

176 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Mithrandir Metrics SPRAY CHART Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Spray Chart Marsee, Jakob · Statcast batted-ball landing coordinates Left field third: 12% of plotted batted ballsPull 12%Center field third: 69% of plotted batted ballsCenter 69%Right field third: 19% of plotted batted ballsOppo 19% LF 344 CF 400 RF 335 2026-03-20 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 77.8 / LA 29.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 51.4 / LA 42.02026-03-20 · field out · FF · popup · EV 49.3 / LA 43.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 91.5 / LA -13.02026-03-21 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 102.7 / LA 15.02026-03-27 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 44.02026-03-27 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.1 / LA -18.02026-03-27 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 104.7 / LA 15.02026-03-27 · field out · ST · popup · EV 66.3 / LA 79.02026-03-28 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -21.02026-03-29 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 77.9 / LA 30.02026-03-30 · triple · SV · fly_ball · EV 93.9 / LA 31.02026-03-30 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 97.4 / LA 15.02026-03-30 · double play · FC · line_drive · EV 96.8 / LA 7.02026-03-30 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 97.9 / LA 24.02026-03-31 · sac fly · ST · fly_ball · EV 95.8 / LA 39.02026-03-31 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 87.4 / LA 52.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 83.6 / LA 51.02026-03-31 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 91.6 / LA 19.02026-04-01 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 32.8 / LA -24.02026-04-01 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.1 / LA -23.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.8 / LA 44.02026-04-03 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 91.9 / LA 39.02026-04-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 73.3 / LA 18.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 85.8 / LA 38.02026-04-04 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 92.4 / LA 26.02026-04-05 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 98.0 / LA 18.02026-04-06 · field out · SI · line_drive · EV 103.5 / LA 15.02026-04-06 · field out · ST · line_drive · EV 95.8 / LA 19.02026-04-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 96.8 / LA 63.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.5 / LA 51.02026-04-07 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 43.9 / LA -77.02026-04-07 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 109.0 / LA 8.02026-04-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.2 / LA 42.02026-04-08 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 100.6 / LA 0.02026-04-08 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 100.3 / LA 6.02026-04-08 · field out · ST · ground_ball · EV 96.1 / LA -15.02026-04-08 · single · CU · line_drive · EV 103.2 / LA 11.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 89.0 / LA -21.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · popup · EV 84.8 / LA 67.02026-04-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 89.9 / LA 54.02026-04-09 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 22.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.7 / LA 77.02026-04-10 · field out · FF · popup · EV 65.2 / LA 39.02026-04-11 · force out · FS · ground_ball · EV 64.3 / LA -34.02026-04-11 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 80.3 / LA -10.02026-04-12 · grounded into double play · SI · ground_ball · EV 92.7 / LA -20.02026-04-12 · triple · CH · fly_ball · EV 85.9 / LA 33.02026-04-12 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 76.0 / LA -16.02026-04-13 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA -7.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 88.2 / LA -27.02026-04-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 52.02026-04-13 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.4 / LA 40.02026-04-14 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 0.02026-04-14 · field out · FF · popup · EV 74.9 / LA 76.02026-04-14 · single · SL · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 11.02026-04-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 78.0 / LA 26.02026-04-15 · field out · CU · line_drive · EV 53.7 / LA 21.02026-04-17 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -4.02026-04-17 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 87.2 / LA -27.02026-04-17 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 93.2 / LA -24.02026-04-17 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 95.7 / LA 37.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 74.8 / LA 8.02026-04-18 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 75.7 / LA 23.02026-04-18 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 96.6 / LA 40.02026-04-18 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 10.02026-04-19 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 70.8 / LA -28.02026-04-20 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 77.6 / LA 51.02026-04-20 · field out · FC · ground_ball2026-04-21 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 74.2 / LA -9.02026-04-21 · single · FC · ground_ball · EV 99.4 / LA 7.02026-04-21 · home run · FF · line_drive · EV 110.9 / LA 20.02026-04-21 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 81.4 / LA 50.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 87.3 / LA 48.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 72.7 / LA -52.02026-04-22 · single · CU · ground_ball · EV 105.6 / LA 1.02026-04-22 · field out · FF · popup · EV 79.6 / LA 57.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 103.2 / LA -3.02026-04-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 97.2 / LA 7.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 77.8 / LA -13.02026-04-24 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 107.4 / LA 16.02026-04-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 93.4 / LA 21.02026-04-25 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.5 / LA 44.02026-04-25 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 101.3 / LA 3.02026-04-26 · field out · FF · popup · EV 83.3 / LA 56.02026-04-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 78.0 / LA -13.02026-04-26 · field out · FC · ground_ball · EV 80.0 / LA -1.02026-04-27 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 103.8 / LA -2.02026-04-27 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 98.3 / LA 16.02026-04-28 · sac bunt · FS · ground_ball · EV 33.6 / LA -79.02026-04-29 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.0 / LA 70.02026-05-01 · field out · FS · line_drive · EV 87.1 / LA 19.02026-05-01 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 102.1 / LA 8.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 94.2 / LA 32.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · popup · EV 68.3 / LA 70.02026-05-02 · field out · FF · popup · EV 63.2 / LA 42.02026-05-04 · single · KC · line_drive · EV 105.8 / LA 13.02026-05-04 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 102.0 / LA 10.02026-05-05 · field out · FC · popup · EV 70.1 / LA 62.02026-05-05 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 73.1 / LA 32.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 96.3 / LA 59.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 89.7 / LA 61.02026-05-06 · field out · FF · popup · EV 75.5 / LA 59.02026-05-06 · double · FS · line_drive · EV 96.9 / LA 16.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 43.02026-05-07 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 31.02026-05-09 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 85.3 / LA 41.02026-05-09 · home run · SL · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 23.02026-05-10 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 100.3 / LA 7.02026-05-12 · field out · FF · popup · EV 82.8 / LA 84.02026-05-12 · single · FF · ground_ball · EV 38.5 / LA -58.02026-05-12 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 101.6 / LA 32.02026-05-13 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA -32.02026-05-13 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 63.9 / LA -36.02026-05-13 · field out · FC · popup · EV 75.7 / LA 59.02026-05-13 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.0 / LA 36.02026-05-14 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 90.5 / LA 50.02026-05-14 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 74.7 / LA 2.02026-05-15 · single · FS · ground_ball · EV 98.7 / LA 4.02026-05-15 · single · SL · popup · EV 61.1 / LA 44.02026-05-15 · home run · FF · fly_ball · EV 100.0 / LA 30.02026-05-15 · field out · CH · ground_ball · EV 74.0 / LA 6.02026-05-16 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 91.4 / LA 12.02026-05-16 · triple · FC · line_drive · EV 89.7 / LA 21.02026-05-16 · single · CH · popup · EV 61.9 / LA 27.02026-05-17 · field out · CH · line_drive · EV 100.5 / LA 21.02026-05-17 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 91.7 / LA 14.02026-05-17 · double · FC · line_drive · EV 74.4 / LA 24.02026-05-18 · field error · CH · ground_ball · EV 101.7 / LA -8.02026-05-18 · field out · FA · fly_ball · EV 83.1 / LA 53.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 33.2 / LA -32.02026-05-21 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 93.4 / LA 34.02026-05-21 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 96.8 / LA -2.02026-05-22 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 98.3 / LA -3.02026-05-22 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 63.0 / LA -19.02026-05-23 · field out · CH · fly_ball · EV 95.0 / LA 24.02026-05-23 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 81.8 / LA 49.02026-05-23 · field out · FC · line_drive · EV 65.6 / LA 16.02026-05-24 · single · ST · line_drive · EV 93.0 / LA 9.02026-05-24 · field out · FC · popup · EV 66.8 / LA 77.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 73.4 / LA 8.02026-05-24 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 83.8 / LA 6.02026-05-25 · field out · FS · fly_ball · EV 97.5 / LA 28.02026-05-25 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 72.4 / LA -71.02026-05-26 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 83.5 / LA -2.02026-05-26 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 94.0 / LA -6.02026-05-26 · field out · FS · ground_ball · EV 61.9 / LA -48.02026-05-27 · force out · CH · ground_ball · EV 96.3 / LA -12.02026-05-27 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.0 / LA 6.02026-05-31 · field error · SL · ground_ball · EV 81.9 / LA 0.02026-05-31 · field out · SI · fly_ball · EV 80.2 / LA 33.02026-06-01 · field out · KC · popup · EV 63.8 / LA 27.02026-06-01 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 88.0 / LA -5.02026-06-05 · field out · CU · ground_ball · EV 94.3 / LA -5.02026-06-07 · single · SI · line_drive · EV 100.1 / LA 7.02026-06-15 · field out · FF · line_drive · EV 78.2 / LA 22.02026-06-15 · single · SI · ground_ball · EV 67.9 / LA -71.02026-06-20 · sac bunt · CH · ground_ball · EV 21.2 / LA -65.02026-06-20 · single · CH · line_drive · EV 95.0 / LA 7.02026-06-20 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 95.9 / LA 3.02026-06-20 · double · FF · line_drive · EV 103.0 / LA 16.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 94.6 / LA -2.02026-06-22 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 78.8 / LA -7.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · line_drive · EV 89.4 / LA 25.02026-06-24 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 91.7 / LA -7.02026-06-26 · single · FF · line_drive · EV 103.6 / LA 13.02026-06-26 · field out · SL · popup · EV 86.9 / LA 70.02026-06-26 · field out · FC · fly_ball · EV 89.7 / LA 40.02026-06-26 · field out · FF · ground_ball · EV 84.2 / LA -34.02026-06-26 · field out · SI · ground_ball · EV 99.2 / LA -25.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 88.2 / LA 62.02026-06-30 · grounded into double play · CH · ground_ball · EV 98.1 / LA -3.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · fly_ball · EV 89.3 / LA 51.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · popup · EV 69.2 / LA 71.02026-06-30 · field out · FF · fly_ball · EV 84.4 / LA 58.02026-06-30 · field out · SL · ground_ball · EV 90.7 / LA -15.0 1B2B3BHROut Zone shading = batted-ball density by field third · hover dots for date, pitch, EV, and LA. MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Mithrandir Metrics ZONE HEATMAP Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. season=2026 Swing Zone Profile Marsee, Jakob · Aggregate zone metrics; not pitch-by-pitch locations Zone: 48%48%Chase: 23%23%Whiff: 17%17%Zone contact: 93%93%Contact: 83%83%Hard hit: 33%33% Dashed border = aggregate mixed-batter zone proxy MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026
Mithrandir Metrics BAT SPEED DISTRIBUTION Parameterized Mithrandir chart rendered as SVG for templates and exports. Bat Speed Marsee, Jakob · aggregate bat speed marker 60 mph 85 mph Avg bat speed 70.5 mph Hard swing rate 6% Whiff / swing 13% MITHRANDIR · CHARTS
Reference layer

Current snapshot

MLB bio context is unavailable.
Live layer

Delta / regression

xwOBA Δ--
wOBA Δ--

positive regression

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.2σ gap
wOBA (actual)0.297
xwOBA (deserved)0.303

Marsee’s wOBA sits at 0.297, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.303 — a gap of 0.006, 0.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 400 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →
PlayerSimilarityAgrees onOpen
Collins, Isaac KC · L 0.80 Max exit velocitySweet-spot rate Player · Projection
Gilbert, Drew SF · L 0.66 Pull ratexwOBA on contact Player · Projection
Perdomo, Geraldo AZ · L 0.63 Barrel rateIn-zone contact Player · Projection
Martin, Austin MIN · R 0.63 xwOBA on contactOppo rate Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

ModuleCardsLatestSignal
Hitting32026-04-21Impact contact was the main driver
Projection links / recent games

Available detail

2026-04-20 vs STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-3 | BB, K
2026-04-17 vs MIL0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, R
2026-04-15 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E0-4 | BB, 2 K
2026-04-14 @ ATL0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E2-3 | BB, RBI, R
2026-04-13 @ ATL0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E1-4 | BB, 2 R, SB