Mithrandir Metrics

Traditional line

Season by season

3D Swing Sim Projections

	PA	R	H	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2024	533	68	132	30	1	.278	.353	.512	.865
2025	445	61	103	21	3	.271	.373	.487	.860
2026	219	28	34	10	1	.182	.292	.374	.666
12 Seasons	5106	730	1288	231	22	.284	.359	.504	.863

At a glance

Season percentile report

The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.

2026-07-16

82

Offense
percentile

Offense9 metrics

73

Defense3 metrics

55

Speed1 metrics

5

Plate skills10 metrics

65

Rolling projection

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.

2026-07-16

xwOBA preseason	0.375
xwOBA current pace	0.336
xwOBA rolling p50	0.354
Observed weight	52%

xwOBA

0.323 0.338 0.354 0.371 0.386

wOBA

0.284 0.303 0.323 0.344 0.362

ISO

0.162 0.180 0.199 0.219 0.237

K%

20.6% 21.9% 23.4% 24.9% 26.3%

Live percentile strip

Current traits vs projection tick

100th = best in MLB.

2026-07-16

Hitting · percentile strip

Barrel%9.7%

95

Exit velocity91.6

90

Hard-hit%47.1%

84

xBA0.330

59

xSLG0.652

87

xwOBA0.336

76 -19 vs proj

BB%12.7%

88

Bat speed70.1

56

K%27.1%

25 -47 vs proj

Defense · percentile strip

Arm Strength85.4 · SS

40

Outs Above Avg1.0 · SS

68

Range Runs0.7 · SS

56

Baserunning · percentile strip

Sprint Speed25.0 · SS

5

Mithrandir+

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.

2026-07-16

Avoids Bad ChasesST 66.5% · rebadged research

55

Avoids Bad TakesHPT 14.6% · rebadged research

97

Correct Decisions71.7% · rebadged research

91

Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.260 · borderline

93

Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.287 · insufficient sample

26

Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample

16

Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.358 · insufficient sample

10

Resists FastballwOBA 0.323 · validated

79

Resists SinkerwOBA 0.331 · validated

94

SEAGER+ Plate Discipline111

92

Rolling form chart

xwOBA snapshot line

Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs

12 snapshots

Spray profile

Field-coordinate spray profile

122 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.

Zone profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.

Bat tracking

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.

Watch the swing in 3D →

2026

Regression watch

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

0.4σ gap

wOBA (actual)0.323

xwOBA (deserved)0.336

Seager’s wOBA sits at 0.323, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.336 — a gap of 0.012, 0.4 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 236 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.

Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape

Closest profiles

Full constellation →

Player	Similarity	Agrees on	Open
Pederson, Joc TEX · L	0.72	Sprint speedAvg exit velocity	Player · Projection
Stowers, Kyle MIA · L	0.65	Avg exit velocitySweet-spot rate	Player · Projection
Muncy, Max LAD · L	0.64	Bat speedWalk rate	Player · Projection
Alvarez, Francisco NYM · R	0.62	xwOBA on contactBarrel rate	Player · Projection

Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.

Mithrandir coverage

Module shelf

Module	Cards	Latest	Signal
No Mithrandir card history is available for this player yet.

Projection links / recent games

Available detail

Hitter Projections 20260.374 xwOBA \| 25 HR	Projection
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| 2 2B, HBP, 2 R
2026-04-15 @ ATH1 HR \| 2 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| HR, BB, K
2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB
2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR \| 0 RBI / 8 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-12 @ LAD0 HR \| 0 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, K

Age	32
Height	6' 4"
Weight	215 lb
Debut	2015-09-03

xwOBA Δ	-0.038
wOBA Δ	-0.051

Hitter Projections 20260.374 xwOBA \| 25 HR	Projection
2026-04-17 @ SEA0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	2-4 \| 2 2B, HBP, 2 R
2026-04-15 @ ATH1 HR \| 2 RBI / 1 Ch \| 0 E	1-3 \| HR, BB, K
2026-04-14 @ ATH0 HR \| 0 RBI / 3 Ch \| 0 E	0-3 \| BB
2026-04-13 @ ATH0 HR \| 0 RBI / 8 Ch \| 0 E	1-4 \| 2B, BB, K
2026-04-12 @ LAD0 HR \| 0 RBI / 4 Ch \| 0 E	0-4 \| BB, K

Corey Seager

Season by season

Season percentile report

Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update

Current traits vs projection tick

Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance

xwOBA snapshot line

Field-coordinate spray profile

Aggregate zone heatmap

Swing path, attack angle, bat speed

Current snapshot

Delta / regression

Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.

Closest profiles

Module shelf

Available detail